| Summary: | Although northern peatlands in general are currently a net carbon sink, there is still considerable uncertainty in the long-term combined response of plant productivity and ecosystem respiration to global warming and moisture changes. The Hudson Bay Lowlands (HBL) region of Canada is the second largest peat-accumulating complex in the world that is strongly influenced by the cold air masses originating off the Hudson Bay. Recent warming has caused observed changes in the sea ice dynamics and energy budget of the Hudson Bay, yet it is presently unknown how these climatic changes in the Bay will impact the surface energy and carbon balance of the adjacent HBL. As a globally significant peatland carbon pool, the HBL will play an important role in future climate warming and permafrost carbon feedback. The primary aim of this study is to improve our understanding of the warming-induced changes in the advective influence of the Hudson Bay and its linkage to the changes in the surface energy and carbon balance over peatlands of the HBL. I use a combined model and assimilated climate dataset to investigate the mesoscale wind and temperature changes in the HBL and their impacts on the surface energy balance (1979–2018). Furthermore, I employ a satellite data-driven light-use efficiency model, calibrated and validated with eddy covariance tower measurements at a fen and bog to examine the response of net ecosystem CO2 exchange to climatic changes (2000–2019). The results reveal that differential rates of warming between offshore and onshore winds have produced significant changes in the advective role of the Hudson Bay as evident in the increased frequency and strength of onshore winds. Also, the results show contrasting net CO2 exchange between the fen and bog sites. The anomalies in gross primary production and ecosystem respiration were associated with strong trends in temperature and moisture, and the Hudson Bay had a more pronounced advective influence on peatland respiration than photosynthesis.
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