The Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change : Methodology Report

• Main Author: World Bank
• Format: Other/Unknown Material
• Language: English
• Published: Washington, DC 2008
• Subjects: ABATING CLIMATE CHANGE; ADAPTATION; ADAPTATION BENEFITS; ADAPTATION COST; ADAPTATION COSTS; ADAPTATION DEFICIT; ADAPTATION INITIATIVES; ADAPTATION INVESTMENT; ADAPTATION MEASURES; ADAPTATION OPTIONS; ADAPTATION POLICIES; ADAPTATION PROCESS; ADAPTATION PROJECTS; ADAPTATION SCENARIOS; ADAPTATION STRATEGIES; ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE; ADAPTIVE CAPACITY; ADAPTIVE MEASURES; ALLOCATION; ANALYSIS OF ADAPTATION; ANTICIPATORY ADAPTATION; ASSESSMENT OF ADAPTATION; ATTENTION; AUTONOMOUS ADAPTATION; BENEFIT ESTIMATES; CALCULATION; CATASTROPHIC EVENTS; CATASTROPHIC IMPACTS; CLIMATE; CLIMATE ADAPTATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE CHANGE FORECASTS; CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS; CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIO; CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS; CLIMATE CONDITIONS; CLIMATE EVENTS; CLIMATE IMPACTS; CLIMATE PARAMETERS; CLIMATE PATTERNS; CLIMATE PREDICTIONS; CLIMATE PROJECTIONS; CLIMATE RESILIENCE; CLIMATE SCENARIOS; CLIMATE SCIENCE; CLIMATE SENSITIVITY; CLIMATE STRESS; CLIMATE VARIABILITY; CLIMATE VARIABLES; CLIMATE-CHANGE; CLIMATE-CHANGE SCENARIO; CLIMATE-RELATED EVENTS; CLIMATIC CHANGES; CLIMATIC FACTORS; CO; CONSECUTIVE DRY DAYS; COPE WITH CLIMATE VARIABILITY; COST ESTIMATES; COST-BENEFIT; COST-BENEFIT ANALYSES; COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS; COSTS OF ADAPTATION; COSTS OF ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE; DAMAGES; DIRECT IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE; DISASTER MANAGEMENT; DISASTER RELIEF; DISASTER RISK; DISASTER RISK REDUCTION; DISCOUNT RATE; DISCOUNT RATES; DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACTS; DROUGHT; ECONOMIC ANALYSIS; ECONOMIC ASPECTS OF ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE; ECONOMIC CONDITIONS; ECONOMIC PROBLEM; ECONOMIC SECTORS; ECONOMICS OF ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE; ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE; EFFECTIVE ADAPTATION; EMISSIONS; EVAPORATION; EXPOSURE TO CLIMATE RISKS; EXTREME EVENTS; EXTREME VULNERABILITY; EXTREME WEATHER; EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS; FINANCIAL CONSTRAINTS; FINANCIAL COSTS; FLOODING; FLOODS; FORESTS; FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE; FUTURE CLIMATE VARIABILITY; GCM; GLOBAL ADAPTATION; GLOBAL CLIMATE; GREENHOUSE; GREENHOUSE GAS; GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS; GREENHOUSE GASES; HEAVY RAINS; HYDROLOGICAL VARIABLES; ICE; ICE-SHEET; IMPACT OF CLIMATE; IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE; IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE; INCOME; INSURANCE; INSURANCE MARKETS; INTENSE RAINFALL; INTERGENERATIONAL EQUITY; INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE; IPCC; LAND USE; LEARNING; MALADAPTATION; MAXIMUM ADAPTATION; MEAN TEMPERATURE; MITIGATION; MITIGATION EFFORTS; MODELING; POLICY MAKERS; PORTFOLIO; PP; PRECIPITATION; PRESENT VALUE; PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION; QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS; RAINFALL; RAINWATER; RAINWATER HARVESTING; RELATIVE PRICES; RESPONSE TO CLIMATE CHANGE; RISK AVERSION; RISK MANAGEMENT; SEA LEVEL RISE; SEA WALLS; SEA-LEVEL; SEA-LEVEL RISE; STORM SURGES; STORMS; TEMPERATURE; TEMPERATURES; TRANSACTION COSTS; UNCERTAINTIES; VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE VARIABILITY; Ice Sheet
• Online Access: http://hdl.handle.net/10986/12695; http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/12/16461505/economics-adaptation-climate-change-methodology-report

The proposed methodology begins with a consistent downscaling of projected climatic changes from a multiplicity of General Circulation to local levels. Subsets of the suite of downscaled climatic factors are then to be used to estimate the vector of impacts on key economic sectors of each country, using sector-specific impact assessment models. Based on this information, alternative government adaptation projects will be specified and optimally chosen subject to a government budget constraint. Thereafter, direct impacts of climate change will serve as inputs into a macroeconomic framework to examine the indirect inter-sectoral impacts of climate change as well as adaption strategies. Finally, at each step the analysis will be complemented with perspectives and insights of people whose livelihoods are being or will be affected by changes in climate. Impacts of the climate change and the benefits of specific adaptation measures will be examined in the context of sub-populations defined by livelihood profiles. Local-level analysis of past and present autonomous adaptation measures for a range of groups stratified by sets of livelihood profiles will be conducted using participatory rural appraisal based primary fieldwork in addition to holding participatory workshops and consultations.