Climate Change and Agriculture in Latin America, 2020-2050 : Projected Impacts and Response to Adaptation Strategies

• Main Authors: Fernandes, Erick C.M., Soliman, Ayat, Confalonieri, Roberto, Donatelli, Marcello, Tubiello, Francesco
• Format: Other/Unknown Material
• Language: English
• Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
• Subjects: ADAPTATION BY FARMERS; AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITY; AGRICULTURAL EMISSIONS; AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS; AGRICULTURAL MANAGEMENT; AGRICULTURAL PRICES; AGRICULTURAL PRODUCERS; AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION; AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION SYSTEMS; AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY; AGRICULTURAL SECTOR; AGRICULTURAL VALUE; AGRICULTURE; AGROCLIMATOLOGY; AIR; ATMOSPHERE; ATMOSPHERIC CARBON; ATMOSPHERIC CARBON DIOXIDE; ATMOSPHERIC CARBON DIOXIDE CONCENTRATION; ATMOSPHERIC CONCENTRATION; ATTAINABLE YIELD; ATTAINABLE YIELDS; BASELINE CLIMATOLOGY; BIOMASS; CARBON; CARBON DIOXIDE; CARBON FERTILIZATION; CARBON INTENSITY; CARBON SEQUESTRATION; CEREAL CROPS; CH4; CHEMISTRY; CLIMATE; CLIMATE AGREEMENT; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS; CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTIONS; CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIO; CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS; CLIMATE CHANGES; CLIMATE DATA; CLIMATE DATABASE; CLIMATE FORECASTS; CLIMATE IMPACTS; CLIMATE MODELS; CLIMATE PROJECTIONS; CLIMATE REGIME; CLIMATE REGIMES; CLIMATE RISK; CLIMATE SCENARIOS; CLIMATE VARIABILITY; CLIMATE VARIABLES; CLIMATE-CHANGE; CLIMATE-CHANGE IMPACTS; CLIMATE-CHANGE SCENARIO; CLIMATE-CHANGE SCENARIOS; CLIMATES; CLIMATIC CHANGE; CLIMATIC DISASTERS; CLIMATIC STIMULI; CLIMATIC VARIABLES; CLOUDS; CO; CO2; COLORS; CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE; CROP; CROP CALENDARS; CROP CYCLE; CROP CYCLE LENGTH; CROP DEVELOPMENT; CROP DISTRIBUTION; CROP GROWTH; CROP MODELING; CROP MODELS; CROP PERFORMANCE; CROP PESTS; CROP PRODUCTION; CROP PRODUCTIVITY; CROP SIMULATIONS; CROP SPECIES; CROP SUITABILITY; CROP TYPES; CROP WATER; CROP WATER REQUIREMENTS; CROP YIELD; CROP YIELD CHANGES; CROPPING; CROPS; DATES; DEFORESTATION; DEGREE DAYS; DESERTIFICATION; DIRECT IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE; DRAINAGE; DROUGHT; ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE; ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE; ECOSYSTEM; EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE; EMISSION SCENARIO; EMISSION SCENARIOS; EMISSIONS; EMISSIONS SCENARIOS; ENERGY SOURCES; ENZYMES; ESTIMATES OF CLIMATE CHANGE; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION; EXTREME EVENTS; EXTREME TEMPERATURES; EXTREME WEATHER; EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS; FAO; FARM; FARMERS; FARMING; FARMING HOUSEHOLDS; FERTILIZATION; FERTILIZATION EFFECT; FERTILIZER; FERTILIZERS; FLOODS; FOOD PRICES; FOOD SECURITY; FORESTS; FROST; FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE; GASES; GCM; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; GHG; GLOBAL CLIMATE; GLOBAL FOOD; GLOBAL FOOD SUPPLY; GLOBAL WARMING; GLOBAL WARMING POTENTIAL; GRAIN; GREENHOUSE; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; GREENHOUSE GAS; GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSION; GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS; GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS; GREENHOUSE GASES; GWP; HIGH TEMPERATURES; HURRICANES; IMPACT OF CLIMATE; IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE; IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE; IMPACTS ON CROP YIELDS; INCREASE IN TEMPERATURE; INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE; IPCC; IRRIGATION WATER; LAND COVER CHANGE; LAND DEGRADATION; LAND USE; LAND-SURFACE; LOW-CARBON; MAIZE; MAIZE CROP; MAIZE YIELDS; MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE; MEAN TEMPERATURE; METEOROLOGICAL DATA; METHANE; MINIMUM TEMPERATURE; N2O; NATIONAL CLIMATE; NEGATIVE IMPACTS; NEGATIVE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE; NITROGEN; NITROUS OXIDE; PATHOGENS; PHOTOSYNTHESIS; PHYSICS; PLANTING; PRECIPITATION; RADIATION; RAIN; RAINFALL; RAINFALL CONDITIONS; RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION; RAINFALL EVENTS; RAINFALL PATTERNS; RAINFALL RUNOFF; RAINY SEASON; REGIONAL CLIMATE; REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE; RELATIVE HUMIDITY; RICE; RICE BLAST DISEASE; RICE CROP; RICE PRODUCTION; RICE YIELDS; SEA ICE; SOIL CARBON; SOIL CHEMISTRY; SOIL PHYSICS; SOILS; SOLAR RADIATION; SOWING; SOYBEAN; SUBSISTENCE CROPS; SUGAR CANE; SURFACE AIR; SURFACE AIR TEMPERATURE; SURFACE RAINFALL; SURFACE TEMPERATURE; SURFACE TEMPERATURE CHANGE; TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES; TEMPERATURE CHANGE; TEMPERATURE DATA; TEMPERATURE GROWTH; TEMPERATURE INCREASES; TEMPERATURES; TROPICAL CROPS; TROPICS; WARM CLIMATES; WATER VAPOR; WEATHER CONDITIONS; WHEAT; WIND; WIND SPEED; Sea ice
• Online Access: http://hdl.handle.net/10986/12582; http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/01/16323917/latin-american-caribbean-climate-change-agriculture-latin-america-2020-2050

The impacts of climate change on agriculture are projected to be significant in coming decades, so response strategies, and their likely costs, should be evaluated now. That is why this study produced an open-access, crop-climate-economic impact modeling platform for Latin America and the Caribbean, that can be extended to other regions, then modified and improved by users as new crop, climate, and economic datasets become available. The new platform projects the likely impacts of agroclimatic factors on crop productivity, on the basis of climate projections from two general circulation models, and couples it with an economic model to derive and evaluate a range of climate-change scenarios and likely agricultural productivity and economic impacts over the next several decades.