Simulated methane emissions from Arctic ponds are highly sensitive to warming

The Arctic is warming at an above-average rate, and small, shallow waterbodies such as ponds are vulnerable to this warming due to their low thermal inertia compared to larger lakes. While ponds are a relevant landscape-scale source of methane under the current climate, the response of pond methane...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Biogeosciences
Main Authors: Rehder, Zoé, Kleinen, Thomas, Kutzbach, Lars, Stepanenko, Victor, Langer, Moritz, Brovkin, Victor
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:https://research.vu.nl/en/publications/15253f7a-56e2-4af5-a7b0-296d5266cfea
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-2837-2023
https://hdl.handle.net/1871.1/15253f7a-56e2-4af5-a7b0-296d5266cfea
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http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85169706467&partnerID=8YFLogxK
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Summary:The Arctic is warming at an above-average rate, and small, shallow waterbodies such as ponds are vulnerable to this warming due to their low thermal inertia compared to larger lakes. While ponds are a relevant landscape-scale source of methane under the current climate, the response of pond methane emissions to warming is uncertain. We employ a new, process-based model for methane emissions from ponds (MeEP) to investigate the methane emission response of polygonal-tundra ponds in northeastern Siberia to warming. MeEP is the first dedicated model of pond methane emissions which differentiates between the three main pond types of the polygonal-tundra, ice-wedge, polygonal-center, and merged polygonal ponds and resolves the three main pathways of methane emissions - diffusion, ebullition, and plant-mediated transport. We perform idealized warming experiments, with increases in the mean annual temperature of 2.5, 5, and 7.5°C on top of a historical simulation. The simulations reveal an approximately linear increase in emissions from ponds of 1.33 CH4 yr-1°C-1m-2 in this temperature range. Under annual temperatures 5°C above present temperatures, pond methane emissions are more than 3 times higher than now. Most of this emission increase is due to the additional substrate provided by the increased net productivity of the vascular plants. Furthermore, plant-mediated transport is the dominating pathway of methane emissions in all simulations. We conclude that vascular plants as a substrate source and efficient methane pathway should be included in future pan-Arctic assessments of pond methane emissions.