Making better decisions:Utilizing qualitative signed digraphs modeling to enhance aquaculture production technology selection

Understanding causal relationships within complex business environments represents an essential component in a decision-maker's toolset when evaluating alternative aquaculture production technologies. This article assesses the utility of employing signed digraph qualitative modeling to support...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Marine Policy
Main Authors: King, Andrew S., Elliott, Nicholas G., Macleod, Catriona K., James, Mark A., Dambacher, Jeffrey M.
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:https://risweb.st-andrews.ac.uk/portal/en/researchoutput/making-better-decisions(3fc93d38-6156-46e0-b632-286d0275c859).html
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2018.01.032
https://research-repository.st-andrews.ac.uk/bitstream/10023/18197/1/James_2018_MP_MakingBetterDecisions_AAM.pdf
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Summary:Understanding causal relationships within complex business environments represents an essential component in a decision-maker's toolset when evaluating alternative aquaculture production technologies. This article assesses the utility of employing signed digraph qualitative modeling to support technology selection decision-making through evaluating the adoption of three alternative production expansion strategies (offshore production, IMTA, or land-based RAS) by the Atlantic salmon industry. Results underlined the benefits of strategically understanding the dynamics of demand growth, emphasized the requirement to address societal concerns early; and indicated that levels of ambiguity are lowest with expansion offshore and highest with land-based RAS growout. The research suggests that signed digraph modeling can provide an objective perspective on the levels of uncertainty and causal linkages within a business environment when exploring aquaculture adoption technology scenarios.