Spatiotemporal variations in juvenile mortality and cohort strength of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) off Newfoundland and Labrador

Juvenile mortality is an important factor affecting the spatiotemporal dynamics of fish recruitment, but estimation of the spatiotemporal variations in juvenile mortality rates remains challenging. We developed a state-space metapopulation dynamics model to simultaneously estimate spatiotemporal var...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Zhang, Fan, Rideout, Rick M., Cadigan, Noel G.
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:unknown
Published: NRC Research Press (a division of Canadian Science Publishing) 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1807/99026
http://www.nrcresearchpress.com/doi/abs/10.1139/cjfas-2019-0156
Description
Summary:Juvenile mortality is an important factor affecting the spatiotemporal dynamics of fish recruitment, but estimation of the spatiotemporal variations in juvenile mortality rates remains challenging. We developed a state-space metapopulation dynamics model to simultaneously estimate spatiotemporal variations in juvenile mortality rates and cohort strength and applied this general modelling framework to data from multiple surveys for juvenile (ages 2–5) Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) stocks off Newfoundland and Labrador (NL). We found large-scale synchronized dynamics of decreasing juvenile mortality rates and increasing cohort strength from offshore surveys off eastern and southeastern NL, suggesting improving reproduction and survival rates for juvenile cod. No synchronized patterns of juvenile mortality rates and cohort strength were detected for cod stocks off southern and western NL, indicating more complex cod population spatial structures in those areas. Our study demonstrates the potential of juvenile mortality to cause temporally variable and spatially synchronized dynamics of fish recruitment, and the spatial patterns of juvenile mortality and cohort strength indicate some potential mismatch between cod population structure and current management units off NL. The accepted manuscript in pdf format is listed with the files at the bottom of this page. The presentation of the authors' names and (or) special characters in the title of the manuscript may differ slightly between what is listed on this page and what is listed in the pdf file of the accepted manuscript; that in the pdf file of the accepted manuscript is what was submitted by the author.