Aurora Basin, the weak underbelly of East Antarctica

The East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS) has the potential to raise global sea levels by ∼52m. Here, we model the evolution of select EAIS catchments to 2100 using three basal melt rate parameterizations and force our model with surface mass balance and ocean thermal anomalies from 10 global climate mode...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Geophysical Research Letters
Main Authors: Pelle, T, Morlighem, M, McCormack, FS
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Amer Geophysical Union 2020
Subjects:
Earth Sciences
Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience
Glaciology
Antarctic
East Antarctic Ice Sheet
East Antarctica
Antarc*
Antarctica
Ice Sheet
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086821
http://ecite.utas.edu.au/139701
Description
Summary:The East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS) has the potential to raise global sea levels by ∼52m. Here, we model the evolution of select EAIS catchments to 2100 using three basal melt rate parameterizations and force our model with surface mass balance and ocean thermal anomalies from 10 global climate models. While the domain loses mass under low‐emission scenarios, it gains ∼10‐mm sea‐level rise equivalent ice volume (SLRe) under high‐emission scenarios. The primary region of thinning is within 50km upstream of Totten Glacier's grounding line. Totten's glacial discharge is modulated by the migration of its grounding line, which is sensitive to brief intrusions of ocean water at temperatures higher than present. Once the grounding line is dislodged, Totten's ice velocity increases by up to 70% of present‐day values, resulting in ∼6‐mm SLRe loss from this sector.

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