Estimating sea-level allowances for Atlantic Canada using the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC
Sea-level allowances at 22 tide-gauge sites along the east coast of Canada are determined based on projections of regional sea-level rise for the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) from the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR5) and on the...
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2015.1106401 http://ecite.utas.edu.au/109724 |
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ftunivtasecite:oai:ecite.utas.edu.au:109724 2023-05-15T17:22:29+02:00 Estimating sea-level allowances for Atlantic Canada using the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC Zhai, L Greenan, BJW Hunter, J James, TS Han, G MacAuley, P Henton, JA 2015 application/pdf https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2015.1106401 http://ecite.utas.edu.au/109724 en eng Canadian Meteorological Oceanographic Soc http://ecite.utas.edu.au/109724/1/Estimating Sea Level Allowances for Atlantic Canada using the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC.pdf http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2015.1106401 Zhai, L and Greenan, BJW and Hunter, J and James, TS and Han, G and MacAuley, P and Henton, JA, Estimating sea-level allowances for Atlantic Canada using the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC, Atmosphere - Ocean, 53, (5) pp. 476-490. ISSN 0705-5900 (2015) [Refereed Article] http://ecite.utas.edu.au/109724 Earth Sciences Atmospheric Sciences Climate Change Processes Refereed Article PeerReviewed 2015 ftunivtasecite https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2015.1106401 2019-12-13T22:10:19Z Sea-level allowances at 22 tide-gauge sites along the east coast of Canada are determined based on projections of regional sea-level rise for the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) from the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR5) and on the statistics of historical tides and storm surges (storm tides). The allowances, which may be used for coastal infrastructure planning, increase with time during the twenty-first century through a combination of mean sea-level rise and the increased uncertainty of future projections with time. The allowances show significant spatial variation, mainly a consequence of strong regionally varying relative sea-level change as a result of glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA). A methodology is described for replacement of the GIA component of the AR5 projection with global positioning system (GPS) measurements of vertical crustal motion; this significantly decreases allowances in regions where the uncertainty of the GIA models is large. For RCP8.5 with GPS data incorporated and for the 19952100 period, the sea-level allowances range from about 0.5 m along the north shore of the Gulf of St. Lawrence to more than 1 m along the coast of Nova Scotia and southern Newfoundland. Article in Journal/Newspaper Newfoundland eCite UTAS (University of Tasmania) Canada Atmosphere-Ocean 53 5 476 490 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
eCite UTAS (University of Tasmania) |
op_collection_id |
ftunivtasecite |
language |
English |
topic |
Earth Sciences Atmospheric Sciences Climate Change Processes |
spellingShingle |
Earth Sciences Atmospheric Sciences Climate Change Processes Zhai, L Greenan, BJW Hunter, J James, TS Han, G MacAuley, P Henton, JA Estimating sea-level allowances for Atlantic Canada using the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC |
topic_facet |
Earth Sciences Atmospheric Sciences Climate Change Processes |
description |
Sea-level allowances at 22 tide-gauge sites along the east coast of Canada are determined based on projections of regional sea-level rise for the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) from the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR5) and on the statistics of historical tides and storm surges (storm tides). The allowances, which may be used for coastal infrastructure planning, increase with time during the twenty-first century through a combination of mean sea-level rise and the increased uncertainty of future projections with time. The allowances show significant spatial variation, mainly a consequence of strong regionally varying relative sea-level change as a result of glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA). A methodology is described for replacement of the GIA component of the AR5 projection with global positioning system (GPS) measurements of vertical crustal motion; this significantly decreases allowances in regions where the uncertainty of the GIA models is large. For RCP8.5 with GPS data incorporated and for the 19952100 period, the sea-level allowances range from about 0.5 m along the north shore of the Gulf of St. Lawrence to more than 1 m along the coast of Nova Scotia and southern Newfoundland. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Zhai, L Greenan, BJW Hunter, J James, TS Han, G MacAuley, P Henton, JA |
author_facet |
Zhai, L Greenan, BJW Hunter, J James, TS Han, G MacAuley, P Henton, JA |
author_sort |
Zhai, L |
title |
Estimating sea-level allowances for Atlantic Canada using the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC |
title_short |
Estimating sea-level allowances for Atlantic Canada using the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC |
title_full |
Estimating sea-level allowances for Atlantic Canada using the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC |
title_fullStr |
Estimating sea-level allowances for Atlantic Canada using the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC |
title_full_unstemmed |
Estimating sea-level allowances for Atlantic Canada using the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC |
title_sort |
estimating sea-level allowances for atlantic canada using the fifth assessment report of the ipcc |
publisher |
Canadian Meteorological Oceanographic Soc |
publishDate |
2015 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2015.1106401 http://ecite.utas.edu.au/109724 |
geographic |
Canada |
geographic_facet |
Canada |
genre |
Newfoundland |
genre_facet |
Newfoundland |
op_relation |
http://ecite.utas.edu.au/109724/1/Estimating Sea Level Allowances for Atlantic Canada using the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC.pdf http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2015.1106401 Zhai, L and Greenan, BJW and Hunter, J and James, TS and Han, G and MacAuley, P and Henton, JA, Estimating sea-level allowances for Atlantic Canada using the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC, Atmosphere - Ocean, 53, (5) pp. 476-490. ISSN 0705-5900 (2015) [Refereed Article] http://ecite.utas.edu.au/109724 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2015.1106401 |
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Atmosphere-Ocean |
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53 |
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5 |
container_start_page |
476 |
op_container_end_page |
490 |
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1766109178916503552 |