Eemian Greenland SMB strongly sensitive to model choice
International audience Understanding the behavior of the Greenland ice sheet in a warmer climate, and particularly its surface mass balance (SMB), is important for assessing Greenland's potential contribution to future sea level rise. The Eemian in-terglacial period, the most recent warmer-than...
Published in: | Climate of the Past |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , |
Other Authors: | , , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
HAL CCSD
2018
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02975965 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02975965/document https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02975965/file/cp-14-1463-2018.pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-1463-2018 |
id |
ftunivnantes:oai:HAL:hal-02975965v1 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftunivnantes:oai:HAL:hal-02975965v1 2023-05-15T16:27:36+02:00 Eemian Greenland SMB strongly sensitive to model choice Plach, Andreas Nisancioglu, Kerim Le Clec'H, Sébastien Born, Andreas Langebroek, Petra Guo, Chuncheng Imhof, Michael Stocker, Thomas Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research (BCCR) Department of Biological Sciences Bergen (BIO / UiB) University of Bergen (UiB)-University of Bergen (UiB) University of Oslo (UiO) Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement Gif-sur-Yvette (LSCE) Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB) Universität Zürich Zürich = University of Zurich (UZH) University of Bern 2018 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02975965 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02975965/document https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02975965/file/cp-14-1463-2018.pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-1463-2018 en eng HAL CCSD European Geosciences Union (EGU) info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.5194/cp-14-1463-2018 hal-02975965 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02975965 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02975965/document https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02975965/file/cp-14-1463-2018.pdf doi:10.5194/cp-14-1463-2018 info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 1814-9324 EISSN: 1814-9332 Climate of the Past https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02975965 Climate of the Past, European Geosciences Union (EGU), 2018, 14 (10), pp.1463-1485. ⟨10.5194/cp-14-1463-2018⟩ [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2018 ftunivnantes https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-1463-2018 2022-10-18T23:39:10Z International audience Understanding the behavior of the Greenland ice sheet in a warmer climate, and particularly its surface mass balance (SMB), is important for assessing Greenland's potential contribution to future sea level rise. The Eemian in-terglacial period, the most recent warmer-than-present period in Earth's history approximately 125 000 years ago, provides an analogue for a warm summer climate over Green-land. The Eemian is characterized by a positive Northern Hemisphere summer insolation anomaly, which complicates Eemian SMB calculations based on positive degree day estimates. In this study, we use Eemian global and regional climate simulations in combination with three types of SMB models-a simple positive degree day, an intermediate complexity , and a full surface energy balance model-to evaluate the importance of regional climate and model complexity for estimates of Greenland's SMB. We find that all SMB models perform well under the relatively cool pre-industrial and late Eemian. For the relatively warm early Eemian, the differences between SMB models are large, which is associated with whether insolation is included in the respective models. For all simulated time slices, there is a systematic difference between globally and regionally forced SMB models , due to the different representation of the regional climate over Greenland. We conclude that both the resolution of the simulated climate as well as the method used to estimate the SMB are important for an accurate simulation of Greenland's SMB. Whether model resolution or the SMB method is most important depends on the climate state and in particular the prevailing insolation pattern. We suggest that future Eemian climate model intercomparison studies should include SMB estimates and a scheme to capture SMB uncertainties. Article in Journal/Newspaper Greenland Ice Sheet Université de Nantes: HAL-UNIV-NANTES Greenland Climate of the Past 14 10 1463 1485 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Université de Nantes: HAL-UNIV-NANTES |
op_collection_id |
ftunivnantes |
language |
English |
topic |
[SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology |
spellingShingle |
[SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology Plach, Andreas Nisancioglu, Kerim Le Clec'H, Sébastien Born, Andreas Langebroek, Petra Guo, Chuncheng Imhof, Michael Stocker, Thomas Eemian Greenland SMB strongly sensitive to model choice |
topic_facet |
[SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology |
description |
International audience Understanding the behavior of the Greenland ice sheet in a warmer climate, and particularly its surface mass balance (SMB), is important for assessing Greenland's potential contribution to future sea level rise. The Eemian in-terglacial period, the most recent warmer-than-present period in Earth's history approximately 125 000 years ago, provides an analogue for a warm summer climate over Green-land. The Eemian is characterized by a positive Northern Hemisphere summer insolation anomaly, which complicates Eemian SMB calculations based on positive degree day estimates. In this study, we use Eemian global and regional climate simulations in combination with three types of SMB models-a simple positive degree day, an intermediate complexity , and a full surface energy balance model-to evaluate the importance of regional climate and model complexity for estimates of Greenland's SMB. We find that all SMB models perform well under the relatively cool pre-industrial and late Eemian. For the relatively warm early Eemian, the differences between SMB models are large, which is associated with whether insolation is included in the respective models. For all simulated time slices, there is a systematic difference between globally and regionally forced SMB models , due to the different representation of the regional climate over Greenland. We conclude that both the resolution of the simulated climate as well as the method used to estimate the SMB are important for an accurate simulation of Greenland's SMB. Whether model resolution or the SMB method is most important depends on the climate state and in particular the prevailing insolation pattern. We suggest that future Eemian climate model intercomparison studies should include SMB estimates and a scheme to capture SMB uncertainties. |
author2 |
Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research (BCCR) Department of Biological Sciences Bergen (BIO / UiB) University of Bergen (UiB)-University of Bergen (UiB) University of Oslo (UiO) Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement Gif-sur-Yvette (LSCE) Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB) Universität Zürich Zürich = University of Zurich (UZH) University of Bern |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Plach, Andreas Nisancioglu, Kerim Le Clec'H, Sébastien Born, Andreas Langebroek, Petra Guo, Chuncheng Imhof, Michael Stocker, Thomas |
author_facet |
Plach, Andreas Nisancioglu, Kerim Le Clec'H, Sébastien Born, Andreas Langebroek, Petra Guo, Chuncheng Imhof, Michael Stocker, Thomas |
author_sort |
Plach, Andreas |
title |
Eemian Greenland SMB strongly sensitive to model choice |
title_short |
Eemian Greenland SMB strongly sensitive to model choice |
title_full |
Eemian Greenland SMB strongly sensitive to model choice |
title_fullStr |
Eemian Greenland SMB strongly sensitive to model choice |
title_full_unstemmed |
Eemian Greenland SMB strongly sensitive to model choice |
title_sort |
eemian greenland smb strongly sensitive to model choice |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02975965 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02975965/document https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02975965/file/cp-14-1463-2018.pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-1463-2018 |
geographic |
Greenland |
geographic_facet |
Greenland |
genre |
Greenland Ice Sheet |
genre_facet |
Greenland Ice Sheet |
op_source |
ISSN: 1814-9324 EISSN: 1814-9332 Climate of the Past https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02975965 Climate of the Past, European Geosciences Union (EGU), 2018, 14 (10), pp.1463-1485. ⟨10.5194/cp-14-1463-2018⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.5194/cp-14-1463-2018 hal-02975965 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02975965 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02975965/document https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02975965/file/cp-14-1463-2018.pdf doi:10.5194/cp-14-1463-2018 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-1463-2018 |
container_title |
Climate of the Past |
container_volume |
14 |
container_issue |
10 |
container_start_page |
1463 |
op_container_end_page |
1485 |
_version_ |
1766016995764994048 |