Population Dynamics of Long-tailed Ducks Breeding on the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta, Alaska

Population estimates for long-tailed ducks in North America have declined by nearly 50% over the past 30 years. Life history and population dynamics of this species are difficult to ascertain, because the birds nest at low densities across a broad range of habitat types. Between 1991 and 2004, we co...

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Published in:ARCTIC
Main Authors: Schamber, Jason L., Flint, Paul L., Grand, J. Barry, Wilson, Heather M., Morse, Julie A.
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: The Arctic Institute of North America 2009
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journalhosting.ucalgary.ca/index.php/arctic/article/view/63195
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author Schamber, Jason L.
Flint, Paul L.
Grand, J. Barry
Wilson, Heather M.
Morse, Julie A.
author_facet Schamber, Jason L.
Flint, Paul L.
Grand, J. Barry
Wilson, Heather M.
Morse, Julie A.
author_sort Schamber, Jason L.
collection Unknown
container_issue 2
container_title ARCTIC
container_volume 62
description Population estimates for long-tailed ducks in North America have declined by nearly 50% over the past 30 years. Life history and population dynamics of this species are difficult to ascertain, because the birds nest at low densities across a broad range of habitat types. Between 1991 and 2004, we collected information on productivity and survival of long-tailed ducks at three locations on the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta. Clutch size averaged 7.1 eggs, and nesting success averaged 30%. Duckling survival to 30 days old averaged 10% but was highly variable among years, ranging from 0% to 25%. Apparent annual survival of adult females based on mark-recapture of nesting females was estimated at 74%. We combined these estimates of survival and productivity into a matrix-based population model, which predicted an annual population decline of 19%. Elasticities indicated that population growth rate (?) was most sensitive to changes in adult female survival. Further, the relatively high sensitivity of ? to duckling survival suggests that low duckling survival may be a bottleneck to productivity in some years. These data represent the first attempt to synthesize a population model for this species. Although our analyses were hampered by the small sample sizes inherent in studying a dispersed nesting species, our model provides a basis for management actions and can be enhanced as additional data become available. Les estimations de populations d’hareldes kakawis en Amérique du Nord ont chuté de près de 50 pour cent ces 30 dernières années. Le cycle biologique et la dynamique des populations de cette espèce sont difficiles à établir car ces oiseaux nichent moyennant de faibles densités dans une vaste gamme d’habitats. De 1991 à 2004, nous avons recueilli des données sur la productivité et la survie des hareldes kakawis à trois emplacements du delta Yukon-Kuskokwim. Les couvées atteignaient 7,1 oeufs en moyenne, tandis que le succès de reproduction s’établissait généralement à 30 pour cent. En moyenne, 10 pour cent des jeunes ...
format Article in Journal/Newspaper
genre Arctic
Kuskokwim
Alaska
Yukon
genre_facet Arctic
Kuskokwim
Alaska
Yukon
geographic Yukon
geographic_facet Yukon
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op_source ARCTIC; Vol. 62 No. 2 (2009): June: 119–225; 190-200
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spelling ftunivcalgaryojs:oai:journalhosting.ucalgary.ca:article/63195 2025-06-15T14:15:18+00:00 Population Dynamics of Long-tailed Ducks Breeding on the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta, Alaska Schamber, Jason L. Flint, Paul L. Grand, J. Barry Wilson, Heather M. Morse, Julie A. 2009-09-11 application/pdf https://journalhosting.ucalgary.ca/index.php/arctic/article/view/63195 eng eng The Arctic Institute of North America https://journalhosting.ucalgary.ca/index.php/arctic/article/view/63195/47133 https://journalhosting.ucalgary.ca/index.php/arctic/article/view/63195 ARCTIC; Vol. 62 No. 2 (2009): June: 119–225; 190-200 1923-1245 0004-0843 Alaska Clangula hyemalis elasticity long-tailed duck population dynamics sensitivity sea duck vital rates Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta élasticité harelde kakawi dynamique des populations sensibilité canard de mer taux vitaux delta Yukon-Kuskokwim info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion research-article 2009 ftunivcalgaryojs 2025-05-27T03:29:43Z Population estimates for long-tailed ducks in North America have declined by nearly 50% over the past 30 years. Life history and population dynamics of this species are difficult to ascertain, because the birds nest at low densities across a broad range of habitat types. Between 1991 and 2004, we collected information on productivity and survival of long-tailed ducks at three locations on the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta. Clutch size averaged 7.1 eggs, and nesting success averaged 30%. Duckling survival to 30 days old averaged 10% but was highly variable among years, ranging from 0% to 25%. Apparent annual survival of adult females based on mark-recapture of nesting females was estimated at 74%. We combined these estimates of survival and productivity into a matrix-based population model, which predicted an annual population decline of 19%. Elasticities indicated that population growth rate (?) was most sensitive to changes in adult female survival. Further, the relatively high sensitivity of ? to duckling survival suggests that low duckling survival may be a bottleneck to productivity in some years. These data represent the first attempt to synthesize a population model for this species. Although our analyses were hampered by the small sample sizes inherent in studying a dispersed nesting species, our model provides a basis for management actions and can be enhanced as additional data become available. Les estimations de populations d’hareldes kakawis en Amérique du Nord ont chuté de près de 50 pour cent ces 30 dernières années. Le cycle biologique et la dynamique des populations de cette espèce sont difficiles à établir car ces oiseaux nichent moyennant de faibles densités dans une vaste gamme d’habitats. De 1991 à 2004, nous avons recueilli des données sur la productivité et la survie des hareldes kakawis à trois emplacements du delta Yukon-Kuskokwim. Les couvées atteignaient 7,1 oeufs en moyenne, tandis que le succès de reproduction s’établissait généralement à 30 pour cent. En moyenne, 10 pour cent des jeunes ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Kuskokwim Alaska Yukon Unknown Yukon ARCTIC 62 2
spellingShingle Alaska
Clangula hyemalis
elasticity
long-tailed duck
population dynamics
sensitivity
sea duck
vital rates
Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta
élasticité
harelde kakawi
dynamique des populations
sensibilité
canard de mer
taux vitaux
delta Yukon-Kuskokwim
Schamber, Jason L.
Flint, Paul L.
Grand, J. Barry
Wilson, Heather M.
Morse, Julie A.
Population Dynamics of Long-tailed Ducks Breeding on the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta, Alaska
title Population Dynamics of Long-tailed Ducks Breeding on the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta, Alaska
title_full Population Dynamics of Long-tailed Ducks Breeding on the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta, Alaska
title_fullStr Population Dynamics of Long-tailed Ducks Breeding on the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta, Alaska
title_full_unstemmed Population Dynamics of Long-tailed Ducks Breeding on the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta, Alaska
title_short Population Dynamics of Long-tailed Ducks Breeding on the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta, Alaska
title_sort population dynamics of long-tailed ducks breeding on the yukon-kuskokwim delta, alaska
topic Alaska
Clangula hyemalis
elasticity
long-tailed duck
population dynamics
sensitivity
sea duck
vital rates
Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta
élasticité
harelde kakawi
dynamique des populations
sensibilité
canard de mer
taux vitaux
delta Yukon-Kuskokwim
topic_facet Alaska
Clangula hyemalis
elasticity
long-tailed duck
population dynamics
sensitivity
sea duck
vital rates
Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta
élasticité
harelde kakawi
dynamique des populations
sensibilité
canard de mer
taux vitaux
delta Yukon-Kuskokwim
url https://journalhosting.ucalgary.ca/index.php/arctic/article/view/63195