Seasonal Prediction of North Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy and Major Hurricane Activity

• Published in: Weather and Forecasting
• Main Authors: Davis, Kyle, Zeng, Xubin
• Other Authors: Univ Arizona, Dept Hydrol & Atmospher Sci
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC 2019
• Subjects: Hurricanes/typhoons; Seasonal forecasting; Statistical forecasting; Agnese; North Atlantic
• Online Access: http://hdl.handle.net/10150/632896; https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-18-0125.1

Building upon our previous seasonal hurricane prediction model, here we develop two statistical models to predict the number of major hurricanes (MHs) and accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) in the North Atlantic basin using monthly data from March to May for an early June forecast. The input data incl...