Warming springs and habitat alteration interact to impact timing of breeding and population dynamics in a migratory bird
In seasonal environments, increasing spring temperatures lead many taxa to advance the timing of reproduction. Species that do not may suffer lower fitness. We investigated why black-tailed godwits (Limosa limosa limosa), a ground-breeding agricultural grassland shorebird, have not advanced timing o...
Published in: | Global Change Biology |
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Main Authors: | , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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2018
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Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/11370/497ff648-db93-45db-9c2c-5620789adf26 https://research.rug.nl/en/publications/497ff648-db93-45db-9c2c-5620789adf26 https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14406 https://pure.rug.nl/ws/files/64532006/Kentie_et_al_2018_Global_Change_Biology.pdf |
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ftunigroningenpu:oai:pure.rug.nl:publications/497ff648-db93-45db-9c2c-5620789adf26 2024-06-23T07:57:23+00:00 Warming springs and habitat alteration interact to impact timing of breeding and population dynamics in a migratory bird Kentie, Rosemarie Coulson, Tim Hooijmeijer, Jos C E W Howison, Ruth A Loonstra, A H Jelle Verhoeven, Mo A Both, Christiaan Piersma, Theunis 2018-11 application/pdf https://hdl.handle.net/11370/497ff648-db93-45db-9c2c-5620789adf26 https://research.rug.nl/en/publications/497ff648-db93-45db-9c2c-5620789adf26 https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14406 https://pure.rug.nl/ws/files/64532006/Kentie_et_al_2018_Global_Change_Biology.pdf eng eng https://research.rug.nl/en/publications/497ff648-db93-45db-9c2c-5620789adf26 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Kentie , R , Coulson , T , Hooijmeijer , J C E W , Howison , R A , Loonstra , A H J , Verhoeven , M A , Both , C & Piersma , T 2018 , ' Warming springs and habitat alteration interact to impact timing of breeding and population dynamics in a migratory bird ' , Global Change Biology , pp. 5292-5303 . https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14406 agricultural intensification climate change Integral Projection Model phenology shorebirds source and sink BLACK-TAILED GODWITS LIMOSA-LIMOSA-LIMOSA LAPWINGS VANELLUS-VANELLUS CLIMATE-CHANGE L. LIMOSA NETHERLANDS SURVIVAL MODELS MANAGEMENT ARRIVAL article 2018 ftunigroningenpu https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14406 2024-06-10T16:38:00Z In seasonal environments, increasing spring temperatures lead many taxa to advance the timing of reproduction. Species that do not may suffer lower fitness. We investigated why black-tailed godwits (Limosa limosa limosa), a ground-breeding agricultural grassland shorebird, have not advanced timing of reproduction during the last three decades in the face of climate change and human-induced habitat degradation. We used data from an 11-year field study to parameterize an Integral Projection Model to predict how spring temperature and habitat quality simultaneously influence the timing of reproduction and population dynamics. We found apparent selection for earlier laying, but not a correlation between the laying dates of parents and their offspring. Nevertheless, in warmer springs, laying dates of adults show a stronger positive correlation with laying date in previous springs than in cooler ones, and this leads us to predict a slight advance in the timing of reproduction if spring temperatures continue to increase. We also show that only in landscapes with low agricultural activity, the population can continue to act as a source. This study shows how climate change and declining habitat quality may enhance extinction risk. Article in Journal/Newspaper Vanellus vanellus Limosa limosa University of Groningen research database Global Change Biology 24 11 5292 5303 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
University of Groningen research database |
op_collection_id |
ftunigroningenpu |
language |
English |
topic |
agricultural intensification climate change Integral Projection Model phenology shorebirds source and sink BLACK-TAILED GODWITS LIMOSA-LIMOSA-LIMOSA LAPWINGS VANELLUS-VANELLUS CLIMATE-CHANGE L. LIMOSA NETHERLANDS SURVIVAL MODELS MANAGEMENT ARRIVAL |
spellingShingle |
agricultural intensification climate change Integral Projection Model phenology shorebirds source and sink BLACK-TAILED GODWITS LIMOSA-LIMOSA-LIMOSA LAPWINGS VANELLUS-VANELLUS CLIMATE-CHANGE L. LIMOSA NETHERLANDS SURVIVAL MODELS MANAGEMENT ARRIVAL Kentie, Rosemarie Coulson, Tim Hooijmeijer, Jos C E W Howison, Ruth A Loonstra, A H Jelle Verhoeven, Mo A Both, Christiaan Piersma, Theunis Warming springs and habitat alteration interact to impact timing of breeding and population dynamics in a migratory bird |
topic_facet |
agricultural intensification climate change Integral Projection Model phenology shorebirds source and sink BLACK-TAILED GODWITS LIMOSA-LIMOSA-LIMOSA LAPWINGS VANELLUS-VANELLUS CLIMATE-CHANGE L. LIMOSA NETHERLANDS SURVIVAL MODELS MANAGEMENT ARRIVAL |
description |
In seasonal environments, increasing spring temperatures lead many taxa to advance the timing of reproduction. Species that do not may suffer lower fitness. We investigated why black-tailed godwits (Limosa limosa limosa), a ground-breeding agricultural grassland shorebird, have not advanced timing of reproduction during the last three decades in the face of climate change and human-induced habitat degradation. We used data from an 11-year field study to parameterize an Integral Projection Model to predict how spring temperature and habitat quality simultaneously influence the timing of reproduction and population dynamics. We found apparent selection for earlier laying, but not a correlation between the laying dates of parents and their offspring. Nevertheless, in warmer springs, laying dates of adults show a stronger positive correlation with laying date in previous springs than in cooler ones, and this leads us to predict a slight advance in the timing of reproduction if spring temperatures continue to increase. We also show that only in landscapes with low agricultural activity, the population can continue to act as a source. This study shows how climate change and declining habitat quality may enhance extinction risk. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Kentie, Rosemarie Coulson, Tim Hooijmeijer, Jos C E W Howison, Ruth A Loonstra, A H Jelle Verhoeven, Mo A Both, Christiaan Piersma, Theunis |
author_facet |
Kentie, Rosemarie Coulson, Tim Hooijmeijer, Jos C E W Howison, Ruth A Loonstra, A H Jelle Verhoeven, Mo A Both, Christiaan Piersma, Theunis |
author_sort |
Kentie, Rosemarie |
title |
Warming springs and habitat alteration interact to impact timing of breeding and population dynamics in a migratory bird |
title_short |
Warming springs and habitat alteration interact to impact timing of breeding and population dynamics in a migratory bird |
title_full |
Warming springs and habitat alteration interact to impact timing of breeding and population dynamics in a migratory bird |
title_fullStr |
Warming springs and habitat alteration interact to impact timing of breeding and population dynamics in a migratory bird |
title_full_unstemmed |
Warming springs and habitat alteration interact to impact timing of breeding and population dynamics in a migratory bird |
title_sort |
warming springs and habitat alteration interact to impact timing of breeding and population dynamics in a migratory bird |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://hdl.handle.net/11370/497ff648-db93-45db-9c2c-5620789adf26 https://research.rug.nl/en/publications/497ff648-db93-45db-9c2c-5620789adf26 https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14406 https://pure.rug.nl/ws/files/64532006/Kentie_et_al_2018_Global_Change_Biology.pdf |
genre |
Vanellus vanellus Limosa limosa |
genre_facet |
Vanellus vanellus Limosa limosa |
op_source |
Kentie , R , Coulson , T , Hooijmeijer , J C E W , Howison , R A , Loonstra , A H J , Verhoeven , M A , Both , C & Piersma , T 2018 , ' Warming springs and habitat alteration interact to impact timing of breeding and population dynamics in a migratory bird ' , Global Change Biology , pp. 5292-5303 . https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14406 |
op_relation |
https://research.rug.nl/en/publications/497ff648-db93-45db-9c2c-5620789adf26 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14406 |
container_title |
Global Change Biology |
container_volume |
24 |
container_issue |
11 |
container_start_page |
5292 |
op_container_end_page |
5303 |
_version_ |
1802651004328476672 |