Future seasonal changes in habitat for Arctic whales during predicted ocean warming

Ocean warming is causing shifts in the distributions of marine species, but the location of suitable habitats in the future is unknown, especially in remote regions such as the Arctic. Using satellite tracking data from a 28-year-long period, covering all three endemic Arctic cetaceans (227 individu...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Science Advances
Main Authors: Chambault, Philippine, Kovacs, Kit M., Lydersen, Christian, Shpak, Olga, Teilmann, Jonas, Albertsen, Christoffer M., Heide-Jørgensen, Mads Peter
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:https://pure.au.dk/portal/da/publications/future-seasonal-changes-in-habitat-for-arctic-whales-during-predicted-ocean-warming(6b730dd5-1cb2-4be3-a86c-9779d718e7ea).html
https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abn2422
http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85134606624&partnerID=8YFLogxK
Description
Summary:Ocean warming is causing shifts in the distributions of marine species, but the location of suitable habitats in the future is unknown, especially in remote regions such as the Arctic. Using satellite tracking data from a 28-year-long period, covering all three endemic Arctic cetaceans (227 individuals) in the Atlantic sector of the Arctic, together with climate models under two emission scenarios, species distributions were projected to assess responses of these whales to climate change by the end of the century. While contrasting responses were observed across species and seasons, long-term predictions suggest northward shifts (243 km in summer versus 121 km in winter) in distribution to cope with climate change. Current summer habitats will decline (mean loss: -25%), while some expansion into new winter areas (mean gain: +3%) is likely.