Uncertainties in Long-Term Twenty-First Century Process-Based Coastal Sea-Level Projections
Many processes affect sea level near the coast. In this paper, we discuss the major uncertainties in coastal sea-level projections from a process-based perspective, at different spatial and temporal scales, and provide an outlook on how these uncertainties may be reduced. Uncertainty in centennial g...
| Published in: | Surveys in Geophysics |
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| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , |
| Format: | Review |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2019
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:0dfda65f-88e6-4186-9074-5a1d6e36af19 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-019-09575-3 |
| Summary: | Many processes affect sea level near the coast. In this paper, we discuss the major uncertainties in coastal sea-level projections from a process-based perspective, at different spatial and temporal scales, and provide an outlook on how these uncertainties may be reduced. Uncertainty in centennial global sea-level rise is dominated by the ice sheet contributions. Geographical variations in projected sea-level change arise mainly from dynamical patterns in the ocean response and other geophysical processes. Finally, the uncertainties in the short-duration extreme sea-level events are controlled by near coastal processes, storms and tides. Physical and Space Geodesy |
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