Observation-based selection of climate models projects Arctic ice-free summers around 2035

The Arctic Ocean could be ice free in summer as early as 2035, according to an analysis of CMIP6 models which selects only the models that best capture observed sea-ice area and volume and northward ocean heat transport

Bibliographic Details
Published in:Communications Earth & Environment
Main Authors: David Docquier, Torben Koenigk
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2021
Subjects:
geo
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00214-7
https://doaj.org/article/a2683b908d0e483dab8c61f9f1202393
Description
Summary:The Arctic Ocean could be ice free in summer as early as 2035, according to an analysis of CMIP6 models which selects only the models that best capture observed sea-ice area and volume and northward ocean heat transport