Towards understanding the pattern of glacier mass balances in High Mountain Asia using regional climatic modelling

Glaciers in High Mountain Asia (HMA) provide an important water resource for communities downstream, and they are markedly impacted by global warming, yet there is a lack of understanding of the observed glacier mass balances and their spatial variability. In particular, the glaciers in the western...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:The Cryosphere
Main Authors: R. J. de Kok, P. D. A. Kraaijenbrink, O. A. Tuinenburg, P. N. J. Bonekamp, W. W. Immerzeel
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2020
Subjects:
geo
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3215-2020
https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/14/3215/2020/tc-14-3215-2020.pdf
https://doaj.org/article/74476d3d7c984bcba6c0d5f1a3da6ec0
Description
Summary:Glaciers in High Mountain Asia (HMA) provide an important water resource for communities downstream, and they are markedly impacted by global warming, yet there is a lack of understanding of the observed glacier mass balances and their spatial variability. In particular, the glaciers in the western Kunlun Shan and Karakoram (WKSK) ranges show neutral to positive mass balances despite global warming. Using models of the regional climate and glacier mass balance, we reproduce the observed patterns of glacier mass balance in High Mountain Asia of the last decades within uncertainties. We show that low temperature sensitivities of glaciers and an increase in snowfall, for a large part caused by increases in evapotranspiration from irrigated agriculture, result in positive mass balances in the WKSK. The pattern of mass balances in High Mountain Asia can thus be understood from the combination of changes in climatic forcing and glacier properties, with an important role for irrigated agriculture.