Predictive estimates of climate changes in the Arctic based on the combined scenario

The article proposes a combined scenario of climate changes estimates based on the composition of «greenhouse» and «cyclical» effects. With its use, the causes of climate fluctuations in the Arctic were diagnosed. The scenario of its change in the XXI century was clarified and was given the scenario...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: N.A. Diansky, I.V. Solomonova, A.V. Gusev
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Russian
Published: LLC Center for Information and Legal Support for the Development of the Arctic 2019
Subjects:
arctic
northern sea route
atlantic
sea ice
forecast
climate changes
greenhouse effect
oscillations
geo
envir
Arctic
Northern Sea Route
Sea ice
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.24411/2658-4255-2018-00003
https://doaj.org/article/528f5c0de1d04f8ab71b74eab1ecd0bb
Description
Summary:The article proposes a combined scenario of climate changes estimates based on the composition of «greenhouse» and «cyclical» effects. With its use, the causes of climate fluctuations in the Arctic were diagnosed. The scenario of its change in the XXI century was clarified and was given the scenario of changing of the Arctic ice cover for the long term. The latter will provide an opportunity to assess the development prospects of the Northern Sea Route.

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