Modelling prehistoric land use and carbon budgets: a critical review

An evaluation of modelled estimates for C release following early land clearance at the global level based on new model assumptions suggests that earlier studies may have underestimated its magnitude, chiefly because of underestimation of the mid-Holocene global population. Alternative information s...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:The Holocene
Main Authors: Boyle, J.F., Gaillard, M.-J., Kaplan, J.O., Dearing, J.A.
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:unknown
Published: 2011
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Online Access:https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/193677/
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Summary:An evaluation of modelled estimates for C release following early land clearance at the global level based on new model assumptions suggests that earlier studies may have underestimated its magnitude, chiefly because of underestimation of the mid-Holocene global population. Alternative information sources for population and land utilisation support both a greater total CO2 release and a greater Neolithic contribution. Indeed, we show that the quantity of terrestrial C release due to early farming, even using the most conservative assumptions, greatly exceeds the net terrestrial C release estimated by inverse modelling of ice core data by Elsig et al. (Elsig J, Schmitt J, Leuenberger D, Schneider R, Eyer M, Leuenberger M et al. (2009) Stable isotope constraints on Holocene carbon cycle changes from an Antarctic ice core. Nature 461: 507–510), though uncertainty about pastglobal population estimates precludes calculation of a precise value.