Climate-driven range shifts of the king penguin in a fragmented ecosystem

• Published in: Nature Climate Change
• Main Authors: Cristofari, Robin, Liu, Xiaoming, Bonadonna, Francesco, Cherel, Yves, Pistorius, Pierre, Le Maho, Yvon, Raybaud, Virginie, Stenseth, Nils Christian, Le Bohec, Céline, Trucchi, Emiliano
• Other Authors: Centre Scientifique de Monaco, LEA BioSensib, Département Ecologie, Physiologie et Ethologie (DEPE-IPHC), Institut Pluridisciplinaire Hubert Curien (IPHC), Université de Strasbourg (UNISTRA)-Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) Mulhouse - Colmar (Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA))-Institut National de Physique Nucléaire et de Physique des Particules du CNRS (IN2P3)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Strasbourg (UNISTRA)-Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) Mulhouse - Colmar (Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA))-Institut National de Physique Nucléaire et de Physique des Particules du CNRS (IN2P3)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis (CEES), Department of Biosciences Oslo, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences Oslo, University of Oslo (UiO)-University of Oslo (UiO)-Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences Oslo, University of Oslo (UiO)-University of Oslo (UiO), University of Texas Health Science Center, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston (UTHealth), Centre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive (CEFE), Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 (UPVM)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques (Montpellier SupAgro)-École pratique des hautes études (EPHE), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD France-Sud )-Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier (Montpellier SupAgro), Centre d'Études Biologiques de Chizé - UMR 7372 (CEBC), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-La Rochelle Université (ULR)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), National Research Foundation Centre of Excellence at the Percy FitzPatrick Institute, ECOMERS, Université Nice Sophia Antipolis (1965 - 2019) (UNS), COMUE Université Côte d'Azur (2015-2019) (COMUE UCA)-COMUE Université Côte d'Azur (2015-2019) (COMUE UCA), Department of Botany and Biodiversity Research, Faculty of Life Sciences, University of Vienna Vienna, Università degli Studi di Ferrara = University of Ferrara (UniFE)
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: HAL CCSD 2018
• Subjects: [SDE]Environmental Sciences; Southern Ocean
• Online Access: https://hal.science/hal-01735956; https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0084-2

International audience Range shift is the primary short-term response of species to rapid climate change but it is hamperedby natural or anthropogenic habitat fragmentation. Fragmented habitats expose different criticalareas of a species niche to heterogeneous environmental changes resulting in uncoupled effects.Modelling species distribution under complex real-life scenarios and incorporating such uncoupledeffects has not been achieved yet. Here we identify the most vulnerable areas and the potential coldrefugia of a top-predator with fragmented niche range in the Southern ocean by integrating genomic,ecological and behavioural data with atmospheric and oceanographic models. Our integrative approachconstitutes an indispensable example for predicting the effect of global warming on speciesrelying on spatially and ecologically distinct areas to complete their life-cycle (e.g., migratory animals,marine pelagic organisms, central-place foragers) and, in general, on species constrained infragmented landscapes due to continuously-growing anthropogenic pressure.