Analysis of the projection of the North Atlantic Oscillation Index with precipitation and temperature in Nicaragua, through a progressive standard model, which guarantees decision- making in very critical weather scenarios: Analysis of the projection of the North Atlantic Oscillation Index with precipitation and temperature in Nicaragua, through a progressive standard model, which guarantees deci-sion-making in very critical weather scenarios.

• Main Author: Tirado Picado, Victor Rogelio
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: Spanish
• Published: UNIVERSIDAD AMERICANA UAM 2023
• Subjects: Climate change; progressive models; temperature; precipitation; atmospheric index; Cambio climático; modelos progresivos; temperatura; precipitación; índice atmosférico; Inglés; Sion; North Atlantic; North Atlantic oscillation
• Online Access: https://revistasnicaragua.cnu.edu.ni/index.php/iyA/article/view/8143

The importance of the models for the forecast of precipitation and temperature in a region is extremely important, since it allows us to analyze unfavorable scenarios that can harm agriculture, both in the dry season and in the rainy season. The indicators are used for decision-making with the aim of minimizing the negative impacts caused by mankind to nature. For this reason, it is intended to present a progressive standard model (PSM), which helps understand the incidence of the atmospheric index measured from the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) with the variability of precipitation in Nicaragua. The NAO atmospheric index, precipitation, and temperature, marks a linear and polynomials trend respectively, with a correlation of 0.96, 0.97 and 0.93 for the factors studied, in this regard, the three parameters evaluated can mark a trend in the next 5 years using the Progressive Standard Model (PSM) method. For this reason, the contribution of said research is focused on the prospection of negative scenarios to propose strategies that strengthen risk management, and help decision makers to harmonize climate variability. La importancia que tienen los modelos para el pronóstico de precipitación y temperatura en una región, es sumamente importante, ya que nos permite analizar escenarios desfavorables que puedan perjudicar la agricultura ya sea en época seca como en época de lluvia. Los indicadores se ocupan para la toma de decisiones con el ánimo de minimizar los impactos negativos provocados por el hombre a la naturaleza. Por tal razón se pretende presentar un modelo estándar progresivo por sus siglas en inglés (PSM), que ayude a entender la incidencia del índice atmosférico medido desde la Oscilación del Atlántico Norte, por sus siglas en inglés (NAO) con la variabilidad de la precipitación en Nicaragua. El índice atmosférico NAO, precipitación, y temperatura, marca una tendencia lineal, y polinómicas respectivamente, con una correlación de 0.96, 0.97 y 0.93 para los factores estudiados, en este sentido para los ...