The necessity of a holistic approach when managing marine mammal–fisheries interactions: Environment and fisheries impact are stronger than seal predation

Seal populations are recovering in many regions around the world and, consequently, they are increasingly interacting with fisheries. We used an Ecopath with Ecosim model for the offshore Central Baltic Sea to investigate the interactions between the changes in fish stocks and grey seal (Halichoerus...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Ambio
Main Authors: Costalago, David, Bauer, Barbara, Tomczak, Maciej T., Lundström, Karl, Winder, Monika
Format: Text
Language:English
Published: Springer Netherlands 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6486897/
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30536186
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-018-1131-y
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Summary:Seal populations are recovering in many regions around the world and, consequently, they are increasingly interacting with fisheries. We used an Ecopath with Ecosim model for the offshore Central Baltic Sea to investigate the interactions between the changes in fish stocks and grey seal (Halichoerus grypus) population under different fishing and environmental scenarios for the twenty-first century. The assumed climate, eutrophication and cod (Gadus morhua) fisheries scenarios modified seal predation impacts on fish. Fish biomass and catches are more affected by fishing mortality and the environment than by seal predation. Our results highlight that the impacts of the increasing seal population on lower trophic levels are complex; thus, we emphasize the need to consider a range of possible ecosystem contexts when evaluating potential impacts of top predators. Finally, we suggest that an increasing seal population is not likely to hinder the preservation of the main Baltic fish stocks. ELECTRONIC SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL: The online version of this article (10.1007/s13280-018-1131-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.