Low clouds suppress Arctic air formation and amplify high-latitude continental winter warming

Future-greenhouse simulations, and evidence of frost-intolerant species in high-latitude continental interiors during past equable climates, show significantly amplified warming at high latitudes over land in winter, with physical mechanisms that are still not understood. We show that the process of...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Main Authors: Cronin, Timothy W., Tziperman, Eli
Format: Text
Language:English
Published: National Academy of Sciences 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4577187/
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26324919
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1510937112
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Summary:Future-greenhouse simulations, and evidence of frost-intolerant species in high-latitude continental interiors during past equable climates, show significantly amplified warming at high latitudes over land in winter, with physical mechanisms that are still not understood. We show that the process of Arctic air formation, in which a high-latitude maritime air mass is advected over a continent, cooled at the surface, and transformed into a much colder continental polar air mass, may change dramatically and even be suppressed in warmer climates due to an increase in the duration of optically thick low clouds. This leads to two-degree warming over the continent in response to each degree of warming over the nearby ocean, possibly explaining both past and future continental warming.