Mechanisms of tropical cyclone response under climate change in the community earth system model

Climate change induces a myriad of effects which influences the global tropical cyclone (TC) genesis frequency. Here we explore how North Atlantic and Western Pacific TCs are affected under climate change using a present-day and a future (1% pCO2 scenario) ensemble of high resolution simulations. We...

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Published in:Climate Dynamics
Main Authors: van Westen, René M., Dijkstra, Henk A., Bloemendaal, Nadia
Format: Text
Language:English
Published: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2023
Subjects:
Article
Pacific
North Atlantic
Online Access:http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10371960/
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06680-3
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spelling ftpubmed:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:10371960 2023-08-20T04:08:13+02:00 Mechanisms of tropical cyclone response under climate change in the community earth system model van Westen, René M. Dijkstra, Henk A. Bloemendaal, Nadia 2023-01-22 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10371960/ https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06680-3 en eng Springer Berlin Heidelberg http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10371960/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06680-3 © The Author(s) 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . Clim Dyn Article Text 2023 ftpubmed https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06680-3 2023-07-30T01:07:25Z Climate change induces a myriad of effects which influences the global tropical cyclone (TC) genesis frequency. Here we explore how North Atlantic and Western Pacific TCs are affected under climate change using a present-day and a future (1% pCO2 scenario) ensemble of high resolution simulations. We find that the number of TCs decreases ([Formula: see text]) in the North Atlantic but increases ([Formula: see text] ) in the Western Pacific. Part of these opposing variations are linked to differences in the ocean’s meridional overturning circulation, which gives rise to a different sea surface temperature response and air-sea fluxes between the two basins. The results show the important role of oceanic climate change on TC response. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00382-023-06680-3. Text North Atlantic PubMed Central (PMC) Pacific Climate Dynamics 61 5-6 2269 2284
institution Open Polar
collection PubMed Central (PMC)
op_collection_id ftpubmed
language English
topic Article
spellingShingle Article
van Westen, René M.
Dijkstra, Henk A.
Bloemendaal, Nadia
Mechanisms of tropical cyclone response under climate change in the community earth system model
topic_facet Article
description Climate change induces a myriad of effects which influences the global tropical cyclone (TC) genesis frequency. Here we explore how North Atlantic and Western Pacific TCs are affected under climate change using a present-day and a future (1% pCO2 scenario) ensemble of high resolution simulations. We find that the number of TCs decreases ([Formula: see text]) in the North Atlantic but increases ([Formula: see text] ) in the Western Pacific. Part of these opposing variations are linked to differences in the ocean’s meridional overturning circulation, which gives rise to a different sea surface temperature response and air-sea fluxes between the two basins. The results show the important role of oceanic climate change on TC response. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00382-023-06680-3.
format Text
author van Westen, René M.
Dijkstra, Henk A.
Bloemendaal, Nadia
author_facet van Westen, René M.
Dijkstra, Henk A.
Bloemendaal, Nadia
author_sort van Westen, René M.
title Mechanisms of tropical cyclone response under climate change in the community earth system model
title_short Mechanisms of tropical cyclone response under climate change in the community earth system model
title_full Mechanisms of tropical cyclone response under climate change in the community earth system model
title_fullStr Mechanisms of tropical cyclone response under climate change in the community earth system model
title_full_unstemmed Mechanisms of tropical cyclone response under climate change in the community earth system model
title_sort mechanisms of tropical cyclone response under climate change in the community earth system model
publisher Springer Berlin Heidelberg
publishDate 2023
url http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10371960/
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06680-3
geographic Pacific
geographic_facet Pacific
genre North Atlantic
genre_facet North Atlantic
op_source Clim Dyn
op_relation http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10371960/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06680-3
op_rights © The Author(s) 2023
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
op_doi https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06680-3
container_title Climate Dynamics
container_volume 61
container_issue 5-6
container_start_page 2269
op_container_end_page 2284
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