Assessing the stability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation of the past, present, and future

This paper is a review of the recent development of researches on the stability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC). In particular, we will review recent studies that attempt to best assess the stability of the AMOC in the past, present, and future by using a stability indicato...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of Meteorological Research
Main Authors: Liu Wei, Liu Zhengyu
Other Authors: Liu, W (reprint author), Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA., Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA., Peking Univ, Lab Climate Ocean & Atmospher Studies, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China., Univ Wisconsin, Ctr Climat Res, Madison, WI 53706 USA.
Format: Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: journal of meteorological research 2014
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Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11897/208219
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-014-4006-6
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Summary:This paper is a review of the recent development of researches on the stability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC). In particular, we will review recent studies that attempt to best assess the stability of the AMOC in the past, present, and future by using a stability indicator related to the freshwater transport by the AMOC. These studies further illustrate a potentially systematic bias in the state-of-the-art atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs), in which the AMOCs seem to be over-stabilized relative to that in the real world. This common model bias in the AMOC stability is contributed, partly, to a common tropical bias associated with the double intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) in most state-of-the-art AOGCMs, casting doubts on future projection of abrupt climate changes in these climate models. http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000344078000009&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=8e1609b174ce4e31116a60747a720701 Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences SCI(E) 2 5 803-819 28