Evaluating the most suitable nonlinear growth model for turbot (Scophthalmus maximus) in aquaculture 2 (weight application): Multi-criteria model selection and growth prediction
Seeking the most suitable model to describe the growth of turbot, we analysed growth data of two different turbot (Scophthalmus maximus) strains reared communally in a recirculating aquaculture system. We fitted 10 different nonlinear growth models to individual weight gain data (n = 2,010) during t...
| Published in: | Aquaculture Research |
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| Main Authors: | , , , , |
| Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2019
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1111/are.14082 https://www.openagrar.de/receive/openagrar_mods_00051504 https://www.openagrar.de/servlets/MCRFileNodeServlet/openagrar_derivate_00023397/dn061031.pdf |
| Summary: | Seeking the most suitable model to describe the growth of turbot, we analysed growth data of two different turbot (Scophthalmus maximus) strains reared communally in a recirculating aquaculture system. We fitted 10 different nonlinear growth models to individual weight gain data (n = 2,010) during the grow‐out phase. Analyses were carried out for each strain, for sexes within strains and for a pooled data set containing both strains and sexes. To assess the model performance, three different criteria are used. Further, a growth‐simulation was performed to evaluate the shape of the generated curve. This way we could assess the capability of the models to predict future growth. The 3‐parametric Gompertz model achieved the best fit in 42.9% of all cases tested and the lowest Bayesian information criterion in 100% of cases. The model produced realistically shaped curves and asymptotic values matching the biological attributes of the species. In contrast, 5‐parametric functions projected unrealistically shaped curves and predicted improbable mature sizes. Our results show that increasing number of parameters do not lead to increasing goodness of fit, but tend to result in overfitting, and demonstrate the advantages of the 3‐parametric Gompertz model for describing the growth of turbot. |
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