Pacific decadal variability: internal variability and sensitivity to subtropics

• Main Author: Matei, Daniela Mihaela
• Format: Thesis
• Language: English
• Published: 2007
• Subjects: Pacific; Sea ice
• Online Access: https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/59000/; https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/59000/1/WEB_BzE_44.pdf; https://pure.mpg.de/rest/items/item_994355_7/component/file_994354/content

Additional to the interannual variability, the Pacific region experiences climate fluctuations on decadal and longer time scales. It is not clear whether Tropical Pacific decadal variability is internal to Tropical Pacific, or whether the midlatitudes exhibit independent decadal variability that affects the tropics or ENSO variability. Available observational data are insufficient to determine the true causes of Tropical Pacific decadal variability. Internal and remote forcing from subtropics are investigated in this study. This is done with state of the art global circulation models (coupled and uncoupled). The leading mode of Tropical Pacific decadal variability in the ECHAM5-MPIOM model, isolated in the tropical cells (TC) index by means of SSA, has a period of about 17 years. The associated SST spatial structure is characterized by a horseshoe-like pattern with maximum explained variance in the central-western equatorial Pacific and off the equator, therefore resembling the signature of the observed decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific. The mechanism for decadal variability in the model involves coupled oceanatmosphere processes over the western tropical South Pacific, in the region of the SPCZ. Strong positive TCs are associated with periods of increased ENSO variability and vice versa, contributing to the decadal modulation of ENSO activity. The influence of the remote subtropical forcing was studied in more detail with tailored experiments performed with the ocean-atmosphere-sea ice coupled model ECHAM5/MPI-OM. In these sensitivity experiments, the coupled model is forced with idealized sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) and sea surface salinity anomalies (SSSA) in the subtropics of both hemispheres. Thus, the relative impact of the subtropical North and South Pacific Oceans on the tropical climate mean state and variability can be estimated. The largest impact on tropical mean climate and variability was simulated in the SSTA experiments. Subtropical South Pacific thermal forcing had ...