Ice core evidence for significant 100-year regional warming on the Antarctic Peninsula

We present a new 150-year, high-resolution, stable isotope record (delta O-18) from the Gomez ice core, drilled on the data sparse south western Antarctic Peninsula, revealing a similar to 2.7 degrees C rise in surface temperatures since the 1950s. The record is highly correlated with satellite-deri...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Geophysical Research Letters
Main Authors: Thomas, Liz R., Dennis, P. F., Bracegirdle, Thomas J., Franzke, Christian
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: American Geophysical Union 2009
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Online Access:http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/11316/
https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/11316/1/2009GL040104.pdf
http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/gl0920/2009GL040104/2009GL040104.pdf
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Summary:We present a new 150-year, high-resolution, stable isotope record (delta O-18) from the Gomez ice core, drilled on the data sparse south western Antarctic Peninsula, revealing a similar to 2.7 degrees C rise in surface temperatures since the 1950s. The record is highly correlated with satellite-derived temperature reconstructions and instrumental records from Faraday station on the north west coast, thus making it a robust proxy for local and regional temperatures since the 1850s. We conclude that the exceptional 50-year warming, previously only observed in the northern Peninsula, is not just a local phenomena but part of a statistically significant 100-year regional warming trend that began around 1900. A suite of coupled climate models are employed to demonstrate that the 50 and 100 year temperature trends are outside of the expected range of variability from pre-industrial control runs, indicating that the warming is likely the result of external climate forcing. Citation: Thomas, E. R., P. F. Dennis, T. J. Bracegirdle, and C. Franzke (2009), Ice core evidence for significant 100-year regional warming on the Antarctic Peninsula, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L20704, doi:10.1029/2009GL040104.