| Summary: | Owing to increasing greenhouse gas emissions, the Antarctic Ice Sheet is vulnerable to rapid ice loss in the upcoming decades and centuries. This study examines the effectiveness of using stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) that minimizes global mean temperature (GMT) change to slow projected 21st century Antarctic ice loss. We simulate 11 different SAI cases which vary by the latitudinal location(s) and the amount(s) of the injection(s) to examine the climatic response near Antarctica in each case as compared to the reference climate at the turn of the last century. We demonstrate that injecting at a single latitude in the northern hemisphere or at the Equator increases Antarctic shelf ocean temperatures pertinent to ice shelf basal melt, while injecting only in the southern hemisphere minimizes this temperature change. We use these results to analyze the results of more complex multi-latitude injection strategies that maintain GMT at or below 1.5 degrees C above the pre-industrial. All these multi-latitude cases will slow Antarctic ice loss relative to the mid-to-late 21st century SSP2-4.5 emissions pathway. Yet, to avoid a GMT threshold estimated by previous studies pertaining to rapid West Antarctic ice loss (1.5 degrees C above the pre-industrial GMT, though large uncertainty), our study suggests SAI would need to cool about 1.0 degrees C below this threshold and predominately inject at low southern hemisphere latitudes (similar to 15 degrees S - 30 degrees S). These results highlight the complexity of factors impacting the Antarctic response to SAI and the critical role of the injection strategy in preventing future ice loss.Large portions of the Antarctic ice sheet are imminently vulnerable to melting as global temperatures rise over the 21st century. This melt would lead to consequential sea level rise intensifying coastal flooding and causing large economic and ecological costs. One idea to slow global warming and limit such climate risks, is to deliberately cool the planet by placing reflective ...
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