Recent contributions of glaciers and ice caps to sea level rise

• Published in: Nature
• Other Authors: Jacob, Thomas (author), Wahr, John (author), Pfeffer, W. (author), Swenson, Sean (author)
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: Nature Publishing Group 2012
• Subjects: Antarctic; Greenland; Antarc*
• Online Access: http://nldr.library.ucar.edu/repository/collections/OSGC-000-000-010-720; https://doi.org/10.1038/nature10847

Glaciers and ice caps (GICs) are important contributors to present-day global mean sea level rise. Most previous global mass balance estimates for GICs rely on extrapolation of sparse mass balance measurements representing only a small fraction of the GIC area, leaving their overall contribution to sea level rise unclear. Here we show that GICs, excluding the Greenland and Antarctic peripheral GICs, lost mass at a rate of 148±30Gtyr⁻¹ from January 2003 to December 2010, contributing 0.41±0.08mm yr⁻¹ to sea level rise. Our results are based on a global, simultaneous inversion of monthly GRACE-derived satellite gravity fields, from which we calculate the mass change over all ice-covered regions greater in area than 100km². The GIC rate for 2003-2010 is about 30 per cent smaller than the previous mass balance estimate that most closely matches our study period. The high mountains of Asia, in particular, show a mass loss of only 4±20 Gt yr⁻¹ for 2003-2010, compared with 47-55 Gt yr⁻¹ in previously published estimates. For completeness, we also estimate that the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets, including their peripheral GICs, contributed 1.06±0.19 mm yr⁻¹ to sea level rise over the same time period. The total contribution to sea level rise from all ice-covered regions is thus 1.48±0.26 mm⁻¹, which agrees well with independent estimates of sea level rise originating from land ice loss and other terrestrial sources.