RUSSIA’S CONTRADICTORY ARCTIC STRATEGIES: COOPERATION, CONFLICT, AND EVERYTHING IN-BETWEEN
Arctic lands and waters are continuing to thaw with each passing decade, and the increasing interest in the economic, strategic, and transit potential of the “High North” is shaping the region into an arena of rising competition. This thesis seeks to answer the following question: What do Russia’s a...
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ftnavalpschool:oai:calhoun.nps.edu:10945/68713 2024-06-09T07:42:54+00:00 RUSSIA’S CONTRADICTORY ARCTIC STRATEGIES: COOPERATION, CONFLICT, AND EVERYTHING IN-BETWEEN Elmore, Jeffrey S. Matovski, Aleksandar National Security Affairs (NSA) Halladay, Carolyn C. 2021-12 application/pdf https://hdl.handle.net/10945/68713 unknown Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School 684, Europe and Eurasia 34897 https://hdl.handle.net/10945/68713 This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States. Russia NATO Arctic great power competition strategy conflict gray zone Northern Sea Route NSR Northeast Passage icebreaker militarization Putin deterrence hybrid warfare freedom of navigation balance of power regime Thesis 2021 ftnavalpschool 2024-05-15T01:01:22Z Arctic lands and waters are continuing to thaw with each passing decade, and the increasing interest in the economic, strategic, and transit potential of the “High North” is shaping the region into an arena of rising competition. This thesis seeks to answer the following question: What do Russia’s ambitious economic ventures, military buildup, and increasingly aggressive posture in the Arctic indicate regarding its intentions in the region? To address this puzzle, the thesis examines three hypotheses, rooted in different interpretations of Russian behavior in the region. The first hypothesis reflects Moscow’s claims that its military buildup is purely defensive and aimed to protect Russian economic and security interests in the Arctic. The second hypothesis asserts that Russia is striving to push out other competitors and become the regional hegemon in the Arctic. The third proposition is that Moscow’s Arctic efforts are primarily geared to gain access to new resource rents and to distract Russia’s population from domestic grievances, advancing the ruling regime’s hold on power. Tracing Russian actions in the region, the thesis finds that its posture in the Arctic is most consistent with the third, regime preservation motive, which may make Moscow’s future behavior particularly volatile. Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited. Captain, United States Air Force Thesis Arctic Northeast Passage Northern Sea Route Naval Postgraduate School: Calhoun Arctic |
institution |
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Naval Postgraduate School: Calhoun |
op_collection_id |
ftnavalpschool |
language |
unknown |
topic |
Russia NATO Arctic great power competition strategy conflict gray zone Northern Sea Route NSR Northeast Passage icebreaker militarization Putin deterrence hybrid warfare freedom of navigation balance of power regime |
spellingShingle |
Russia NATO Arctic great power competition strategy conflict gray zone Northern Sea Route NSR Northeast Passage icebreaker militarization Putin deterrence hybrid warfare freedom of navigation balance of power regime Elmore, Jeffrey S. RUSSIA’S CONTRADICTORY ARCTIC STRATEGIES: COOPERATION, CONFLICT, AND EVERYTHING IN-BETWEEN |
topic_facet |
Russia NATO Arctic great power competition strategy conflict gray zone Northern Sea Route NSR Northeast Passage icebreaker militarization Putin deterrence hybrid warfare freedom of navigation balance of power regime |
description |
Arctic lands and waters are continuing to thaw with each passing decade, and the increasing interest in the economic, strategic, and transit potential of the “High North” is shaping the region into an arena of rising competition. This thesis seeks to answer the following question: What do Russia’s ambitious economic ventures, military buildup, and increasingly aggressive posture in the Arctic indicate regarding its intentions in the region? To address this puzzle, the thesis examines three hypotheses, rooted in different interpretations of Russian behavior in the region. The first hypothesis reflects Moscow’s claims that its military buildup is purely defensive and aimed to protect Russian economic and security interests in the Arctic. The second hypothesis asserts that Russia is striving to push out other competitors and become the regional hegemon in the Arctic. The third proposition is that Moscow’s Arctic efforts are primarily geared to gain access to new resource rents and to distract Russia’s population from domestic grievances, advancing the ruling regime’s hold on power. Tracing Russian actions in the region, the thesis finds that its posture in the Arctic is most consistent with the third, regime preservation motive, which may make Moscow’s future behavior particularly volatile. Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited. Captain, United States Air Force |
author2 |
Matovski, Aleksandar National Security Affairs (NSA) Halladay, Carolyn C. |
format |
Thesis |
author |
Elmore, Jeffrey S. |
author_facet |
Elmore, Jeffrey S. |
author_sort |
Elmore, Jeffrey S. |
title |
RUSSIA’S CONTRADICTORY ARCTIC STRATEGIES: COOPERATION, CONFLICT, AND EVERYTHING IN-BETWEEN |
title_short |
RUSSIA’S CONTRADICTORY ARCTIC STRATEGIES: COOPERATION, CONFLICT, AND EVERYTHING IN-BETWEEN |
title_full |
RUSSIA’S CONTRADICTORY ARCTIC STRATEGIES: COOPERATION, CONFLICT, AND EVERYTHING IN-BETWEEN |
title_fullStr |
RUSSIA’S CONTRADICTORY ARCTIC STRATEGIES: COOPERATION, CONFLICT, AND EVERYTHING IN-BETWEEN |
title_full_unstemmed |
RUSSIA’S CONTRADICTORY ARCTIC STRATEGIES: COOPERATION, CONFLICT, AND EVERYTHING IN-BETWEEN |
title_sort |
russia’s contradictory arctic strategies: cooperation, conflict, and everything in-between |
publisher |
Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://hdl.handle.net/10945/68713 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Northeast Passage Northern Sea Route |
genre_facet |
Arctic Northeast Passage Northern Sea Route |
op_relation |
684, Europe and Eurasia 34897 https://hdl.handle.net/10945/68713 |
op_rights |
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States. |
_version_ |
1801371609134530560 |