Sensitivity of Arctic sea ice to variable model parameter space in Regional Arctic System Model simulations

The article of record as published may be found at https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-13039 EGU General Assembly 2020 The Arctic climate system is very sensitive to the state of sea ice due to its role in controlling heat and momentum exchanges between the atmosphere and the ocean. However, t...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Osinski, Robert, Maslowski, Wieslaw, Lee, Younjoo, Craig, Anthony, Clement-Kinney, Jaclyn, Niciejewski, Jan
Other Authors: Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.), Oceanography
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:unknown
Published: EGU 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10945/66160
Description
Summary:The article of record as published may be found at https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-13039 EGU General Assembly 2020 The Arctic climate system is very sensitive to the state of sea ice due to its role in controlling heat and momentum exchanges between the atmosphere and the ocean. However, the representation of sea ice state, its past variability and future projections in modern Earth system models (ESMs) vary widely. One of the reasons for that is strong sensitivity of ESMs to sea ice related varying parameter space. Based on limited observations, those parameters typically have a range of possible values and / or are not constant in space and time, which is a source of model uncertainties. The Regional Arctic System Model (RASM) is a limited-domain fully coupled climate model used in this study to investigate sensitivity of sea ice states to limited set of parameters. It includes the atmospheric (Weather Research and Forecasting; WRF) and land hydrology (Variable Inltration Capacity; VIC) components sharing a 50-km pan-Arctic grid. The sea ice (the version 6.0 of Los Alamos sea ice model, CICE) and ocean (Parallel Ocean Program, POP) components share a 1/12° pan-Arctic grid. In addition, a river routing scheme (RVIC) is used to represent the freshwater ux from land to ocean. All components are coupled at high frequency via the Community Earth System Model (CESM) coupler version CPL7. We have selected four parameters out of the set evaluated by Urrego-Blanco et al. (2016) and subject to their potential impact on sea ice and coupling across the atmosphere-sea ice- ocean interface. The total of 96 sensitivity simulations have been completed with fully coupled and forced RASM congurations, varying each parameter within its respective acceptable range. Using sea ice volume as a measure of sensitivity, the thermal conductivity of snow (ksno) parameter has produced the most sensitivity, in qualitative agreement with Urrego-Blanco et al. (2016). However, using dynamics related metrics, such as sea ice ...