Iceberg scour risk analysis for pipelines on the Labrador Shelf

An iceberg risk analysis was performed for a network of 3 pipelines proposed by Petro-Canada (1983) to allow the transport of natural gas on the Makkovik Bank to a landfall at Cape Harrison on the Labrador Coast. The risk analysis originally performed indicated that scouring icebergs would make dire...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: King, Anthony D.
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Memorial University of Newfoundland 2002
Subjects:
Online Access:https://research.library.mun.ca/1184/
https://research.library.mun.ca/1184/1/King_AnthonyD.pdf
https://research.library.mun.ca/1184/3/King_AnthonyD.pdf
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Summary:An iceberg risk analysis was performed for a network of 3 pipelines proposed by Petro-Canada (1983) to allow the transport of natural gas on the Makkovik Bank to a landfall at Cape Harrison on the Labrador Coast. The risk analysis originally performed indicated that scouring icebergs would make direct contact with these three pipelines an average of thirteen times per year (total for all three) if the pipelines were trenched to provide a cover depth of 2.5 m. The required burial depth to reduce failure rates to one every second year for the pipeline network was estimated to be approximately 5 m, which was not considered technically feasible. -- Since the original Petro-Canada (1983) analysis, a significant amount of work has been done on iceberg scour and the associated risk to subsea facilities. Given increasing interest in the development of offshore natural gas reserves, it was considered worthwhile to perform a review of the original work and, if warranted, perform another risk analysis. Certain elements of the original risk analysis were identified as being extremely conservative: the mean scour depth, the iceberg draft distribution, and the method used to determine the proportion of icebergs scouring over the pipelines. -- In order to perform a risk analysis for the pipeline network, a model was developed to estimate iceberg grounding rates on the seabed. The model was tested using data from the Grand Banks, where iceberg parameters are fairly-well established. The model was verified using scour rates estimated at the Hibernia and White Rose sites from seabed surveys and was found to provide reasonable estimates of iceberg scour rates. -- Data for the Makkovik Bank was reviewed for use in the grounding model, to allow calculation of pipeline scour crossing rates and to determine the scour depth distribution. The failure rates depend on the criterion used to define pipeline failure. If direct contact between a scouring iceberg keel and a trenched pipeline was defined as failure (which was the criterion used ...