Ilgalaikių oro temperatūros ir kritulių anomalijų numatymo galimybės Lietuvoje

The best patterns appear to be PP and NN for temperature and precipitation during warm seasons, while PN is good only for temperature during a cold season. The least persistent pattern is NP, and it cannot diagnose hydrothermal anomalies. Regardless of the relations between persistent regional weath...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Stankūnavičius, Gintautas
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:Lithuanian
English
Published: 2009
Subjects:
Interia of anomalies
Atmospheric circulation
North-atlantic oscillation
North Atlantic
North Atlantic oscillation
Online Access:http://lmavb.lvb.lt/LMAVB:ELABAPDB5850001&prefLang=en_US
Description
Summary:The best patterns appear to be PP and NN for temperature and precipitation during warm seasons, while PN is good only for temperature during a cold season. The least persistent pattern is NP, and it cannot diagnose hydrothermal anomalies. Regardless of the relations between persistent regional weather anomalies and their potential predictors identified in this study, the main task did not include developing the methodology of forecasting anomalies. On the other hand, the most important “derivations” of the persistent temperature and precipitation anomalies are droughts and floods. The former has a rather long memory and depends on the accumulated effect of circulation patterns.

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