Global changes of extreme coastal wave energy fluxes triggered by intensifying teleconnection patterns
In this study we conducted a comprehensive modelling analysis to identify global trends inextreme Wave Energy Flux (WEF) along coastlines in the 21st century under a high emissionspathway (RCP8.5). For the end of the century, results show a significant increase up to 30% in100-year return level WEF...
| Published in: | Geophysical Research Letters |
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| Main Authors: | , , , , |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
2017
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC105464 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL072488/abstract https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL072488 |
| Summary: | In this study we conducted a comprehensive modelling analysis to identify global trends inextreme Wave Energy Flux (WEF) along coastlines in the 21st century under a high emissionspathway (RCP8.5). For the end of the century, results show a significant increase up to 30% in100-year return level WEF for the majority of the coastal areas of the Southern Temperate Zone,while in the Northern Hemisphere large coastal areas are characterized by a significant negativetrend. We show that the most significant long term trends of extreme WEF can be explained byintensification of teleconnection patterns such as the Antarctic Oscillation (AAO), El-NinoSouthern Oscillation (ENSO) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). The projected changes willhave broad implications for ocean engineering applications and disaster risk management.Especially low-lying coastal countries in the Southern Hemisphere will be particularlyvulnerable due to the combined effects of projected Relative Sea Level Rise (RSLR) and moreextreme wave activity. JRC.E.1 - Disaster Risk Management |
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