Mathematical modeling of Elbrus glaciers in the 21st century. Part 2. Forecasting glacier evolution and lake formation under various SSP scenarios

• Main Authors: T. Postnikova N., O. Rybak O., A. Gubanov S., H. Zekollari, M. Huss, Т. Постникова Н., О. Рыбак О., А. Губанов C., X. Зеколлари, М. Хусс
• Other Authors: This work was supported by the Russian Science Foundation, grant 23-27-00050., Исследование выполнено при финансовой поддержке РНФ в рамках научного проекта 23-27-00050.
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: Russian
• Published: IGRAS 2024
• Subjects: mountain glaciers;numerical model;glacier modeling;numerical experiments;climate change;climate predictions;CMIP6;Elbrus;glacial lake; горные ледники;математическая модель;гляциологическое моделирование;числен- ные эксперименты;изменение климата;климатические проекции;CMIP6;Эльбрус;прогляциальные озёра; Glacial Lake; Lake May; New Lakes; The Cryosphere
• Online Access: https://ice-snow.igras.ru/jour/article/view/1433; https://doi.org/10.31857/S2076673424030021

Probable scenarios of future changes in the Elbrus glaciers and associated with them phenomena such as formation of glacial lakes and remaining ice masses buried under the debris cover are considered. The SSP scenarios (SSP1–1.9, SSP1–2.6, SSP2–4.5, SSP3–7.0, SSP5–8.5) were used for of future climat...