Global Commons in the Anthropocene: World Development on a Stable and Resilient Planet

• Three decades of internationally coordinated research on the Earth system has led to the conclusion that Earth has entered a new geological epoch – the Anthropocene. The stability and resilience of the Earth system is now at risk. Yet, a stable Earth system is a prerequisite for human development....

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Nakicenovic, N., Rockström, J., Gaffney, O., Zimm, C.
Format: Book
Language:English
Published: WP-16-019 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14003/
https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14003/1/WP-16-019.pdf
Description
Summary:• Three decades of internationally coordinated research on the Earth system has led to the conclusion that Earth has entered a new geological epoch – the Anthropocene. The stability and resilience of the Earth system is now at risk. Yet, a stable Earth system is a prerequisite for human development. • Nine Planetary Boundaries determine Earth system resilience. Human activities have caused the Earth system to transgress four of these boundaries, namely climate, biodiversity, land-use change (deforestation) and biogeochemical cycles (predominantly overuse of phosphorus and nitrogen in fertilizers). • The Anthropocene changes our relationship with the planet and how societies view the “global commons”. One definition of the global commons currently used by international law names: the high seas; the atmosphere; Antarctica; and outer space – as the globally common resources that fall outside national jurisdictions. However, the stability and resilience of the Earth system is also common to all. This stability and resilience is dependent upon both the global commons as recognized under international law and also the resources within national jurisdictions, for example rainforests, sea ice, mangroves and biodiversity. • We argue that humanity must be the steward of the planet’s natural resources – the ecosystems, biomes and processes that regulate the stability and resilience of the Earth system, for example the carbon cycle. These are what we term the new “Global Commons in the Anthropocene”. • The UN Sustainable Development Goals and the Paris Agreement on Climate Change indicate a paradigm shift in the global response to safeguarding the Global Commons in the Anthropocene. • In the coming decades, four key socioeconomic megatrends will determine the trajectory of the Anthropocene: energy, food, water and urbanization. • Food, the world’s single largest user of fresh and underground water, and the single largest reason for transgressing Planetary Boundaries on nitrogen/phosphorus, land, and biodiversity. ...