Impact of a potential avian flu outbreak in Ethiopia: a multimarket model analysis
The potential impact of a highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreak in Ethiopia is assessed, specifically on the country’s poultry and associated sectors. Ethiopia has not yet experienced an HPAI outbreak but has experienced a scare. An HPAI outbreak would cause a supply and demand shock to...
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International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI); International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI); Royal Veterinary College (RVC)
2009
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ftifpriir:oai:ebrary.ifpri.org:p15738coll2/125002 2023-05-15T15:34:23+02:00 Impact of a potential avian flu outbreak in Ethiopia: a multimarket model analysis Thomas, Marcelle Diao, Xinshen Roy, Devesh Thomas, Marcelle; 2009 6 pages http://www.ifpri.org/publication/controlling-avian-flu-and-protecting-people-s-livelihoods-africa-and-indonesia-1 http://ebrary.ifpri.org/cdm/ref/collection/p15738coll2/id/125002 English eng eng International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI); International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI); Royal Veterinary College (RVC) Washington, D.C. Controlling avian flu and protecting people’s livelihoods in Africa and Indonesia; HPAI Research Brief 13 http://www.ifpri.org/publication/controlling-avian-flu-and-protecting-people-s-livelihoods-africa-and-indonesia-1 125002 http://ebrary.ifpri.org/cdm/ref/collection/p15738coll2/id/125002 Open Access IFPRI ETHIOPIA AFRICA INDONESIA AFRICA SOUTH OF SAHARA highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) poultry sector Brief Project paper 2009 ftifpriir 2020-07-31T06:25:58Z The potential impact of a highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreak in Ethiopia is assessed, specifically on the country’s poultry and associated sectors. Ethiopia has not yet experienced an HPAI outbreak but has experienced a scare. An HPAI outbreak would cause a supply and demand shock to the poultry sector. Whereas supply shocks would be related directly to the disease and be local, demand shocks would be more dispersed across regions. Results of a dynamic spatially disaggregated multimarket model indicate that, given the poultry sector’s small contribution to the Ethiopian economy, the likely overall effect of an HPAI outbreak on the economy would be small. Importantly, for the same reason that aggregate impacts are likely to be small, the livelihood impact could be large, because poor households participate significantly in poultry production. Non-PR IFPRI2 MTID; DSGD Manuscript Avian flu IFPRI Knowledge Collections (International Food Policy Research Institute) |
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Open Polar |
collection |
IFPRI Knowledge Collections (International Food Policy Research Institute) |
op_collection_id |
ftifpriir |
language |
English |
topic |
ETHIOPIA AFRICA INDONESIA AFRICA SOUTH OF SAHARA highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) poultry sector |
spellingShingle |
ETHIOPIA AFRICA INDONESIA AFRICA SOUTH OF SAHARA highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) poultry sector Thomas, Marcelle Diao, Xinshen Roy, Devesh Thomas, Marcelle; Impact of a potential avian flu outbreak in Ethiopia: a multimarket model analysis |
topic_facet |
ETHIOPIA AFRICA INDONESIA AFRICA SOUTH OF SAHARA highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) poultry sector |
description |
The potential impact of a highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreak in Ethiopia is assessed, specifically on the country’s poultry and associated sectors. Ethiopia has not yet experienced an HPAI outbreak but has experienced a scare. An HPAI outbreak would cause a supply and demand shock to the poultry sector. Whereas supply shocks would be related directly to the disease and be local, demand shocks would be more dispersed across regions. Results of a dynamic spatially disaggregated multimarket model indicate that, given the poultry sector’s small contribution to the Ethiopian economy, the likely overall effect of an HPAI outbreak on the economy would be small. Importantly, for the same reason that aggregate impacts are likely to be small, the livelihood impact could be large, because poor households participate significantly in poultry production. Non-PR IFPRI2 MTID; DSGD |
format |
Manuscript |
author |
Thomas, Marcelle Diao, Xinshen Roy, Devesh Thomas, Marcelle; |
author_facet |
Thomas, Marcelle Diao, Xinshen Roy, Devesh Thomas, Marcelle; |
author_sort |
Thomas, Marcelle |
title |
Impact of a potential avian flu outbreak in Ethiopia: a multimarket model analysis |
title_short |
Impact of a potential avian flu outbreak in Ethiopia: a multimarket model analysis |
title_full |
Impact of a potential avian flu outbreak in Ethiopia: a multimarket model analysis |
title_fullStr |
Impact of a potential avian flu outbreak in Ethiopia: a multimarket model analysis |
title_full_unstemmed |
Impact of a potential avian flu outbreak in Ethiopia: a multimarket model analysis |
title_sort |
impact of a potential avian flu outbreak in ethiopia: a multimarket model analysis |
publisher |
International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI); International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI); Royal Veterinary College (RVC) |
publishDate |
2009 |
url |
http://www.ifpri.org/publication/controlling-avian-flu-and-protecting-people-s-livelihoods-africa-and-indonesia-1 http://ebrary.ifpri.org/cdm/ref/collection/p15738coll2/id/125002 |
genre |
Avian flu |
genre_facet |
Avian flu |
op_relation |
Controlling avian flu and protecting people’s livelihoods in Africa and Indonesia; HPAI Research Brief 13 http://www.ifpri.org/publication/controlling-avian-flu-and-protecting-people-s-livelihoods-africa-and-indonesia-1 125002 http://ebrary.ifpri.org/cdm/ref/collection/p15738coll2/id/125002 |
op_rights |
Open Access IFPRI |
_version_ |
1766364797428826112 |