Response to 'A statistical evaluation of a 'stress-forecast' earthquake' by T. Seher & I. G. Main
Seher & Main claim to make a statistical evaluation of successful stress-forecast of the time and magnitude of an earthquake in SW Iceland. A statistical evaluation of the data would be valuable, but unfortunately Seher & Main cannot do this as techniques have not yet been developed for the...
| Published in: | Geophysical Journal International |
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| Main Authors: | , , |
| Format: | Text |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Oxford University Press
2004
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://gji.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/short/157/1/194 https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246X.2004.02187.x |
| Summary: | Seher & Main claim to make a statistical evaluation of successful stress-forecast of the time and magnitude of an earthquake in SW Iceland. A statistical evaluation of the data would be valuable, but unfortunately Seher & Main cannot do this as techniques have not yet been developed for the statistical analysis of discontinuous time-series within an overall continuous data set. Consequently, Seher & Main devise their own models of continuous time-series that are fundamentally different from those of our hypothesis. Seher & Main also briefly suggest several other concepts, which are serious misunderstandings of the stress-forecasting process. Consequently, their results and conclusions are unfortunately irrelevant to evaluating either the hypothesis or the stress-forecast. |
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