Real Time Predictions of the Convective Activity in The Labrador Sea

LONG-TERM GOALS. This effort contributes to a better understanding of the deep convective process in the ocean. In particular we are interested to evaluate the skills of a prediction system based on real time data in combination with ocean models to forecast the deep convective activity in a given r...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Visbeck, Martin
Other Authors: COLUMBIA UNIV PALISADES NY LAMONT-DOHERTY EARTH OBSERVATORY
Format: Text
Language:English
Published: 1999
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA630341
http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?&verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA630341
Description
Summary:LONG-TERM GOALS. This effort contributes to a better understanding of the deep convective process in the ocean. In particular we are interested to evaluate the skills of a prediction system based on real time data in combination with ocean models to forecast the deep convective activity in a given region from a few weeks up to a few month in advance. More recently we realized that one of the critical parameter is the representation of lateral fluxes due to mesoscale eddies. We have completed a study to quantify the climatological mean lateral eddy fluxes. OBJECTIVES. C Apply and evaluate and improve, in real time, a minimum prediction system to forecast the convective activity several weeks in advance. C Assess the relative importance of one-dimensional mixing physics versus lateral effects due to mesoscale eddies or other variable flows. C Quantify the strength of the eddy induced property transfer.