Forecasting Future Sea Ice Conditions in the MIZ: A Langrangian Approach

LONG-TERM GOALS: 1- Determine the source regions for sea ice in coastal zones using back trajectories calculated from satellite-derived sea ice drift, based on work by Maslanak et al. 1995, Emery et al. 1997a, Meier et al. 2000, Tschudi et al. 2010. 2- Assess whether the source region of sea ice mel...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Tremblay, Bruno
Other Authors: COLUMBIA UNIV PALISADES NY LAMONT-DOHERTY EARTH OBSERVATORY
Format: Text
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
Snow
Ice and Permafrost
*GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION
*PREDICTIONS
*SEA ICE
COASTAL REGIONS
DRIFT
MELTING
SOURCES
CLIMATE MODELS
ICE DRIFT
SEA ICE EXTENT
TEMPORAL EVOLUTION
Meier
Ice
permafrost
Sea ice
Online Access:http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA572580
http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?&verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA572580
Description
Summary:LONG-TERM GOALS: 1- Determine the source regions for sea ice in coastal zones using back trajectories calculated from satellite-derived sea ice drift, based on work by Maslanak et al. 1995, Emery et al. 1997a, Meier et al. 2000, Tschudi et al. 2010. 2- Assess whether the source region of sea ice melting in peripheral seas in the GCMs participating in the IPCC AR5 and regional sea ice models agree with observed source region patterns from the satellite-derived dataset. 3- Compare Lagrangian ice trajectories in model and satellite datasets. 4- Repeat this analysis for 4 critical climate horizons: a base period (1979-2000), the most recent decade when transition to a new sea ice regime occurred (2001-2010), and two projection periods in the 21st Century (mid and late 21st century).

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