Toward a Predictive Model of Arctic Coastal Retreat in a Warming Climate, Beaufort Sea, Alaska

The long-term goal of this project is to build a set of process-based models of Arctic coastal evolution that will aid in prediction of future landscape and nearshore bathymetric change. Our study is focused on the Beaufort Sea coast within the National Petroleum Reserve-Alaska (NPR-A), approximatel...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Wobus, Cameron W., Anderson, Robert S., Overeem, Irina
Other Authors: COLORADO UNIV AT BOULDER INST OF ARCTIC AND ALPINE RESEARCH
Format: Text
Language:English
Published: 2007
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA541738
http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?&verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA541738
Description
Summary:The long-term goal of this project is to build a set of process-based models of Arctic coastal evolution that will aid in prediction of future landscape and nearshore bathymetric change. Our study is focused on the Beaufort Sea coast within the National Petroleum Reserve-Alaska (NPR-A), approximately halfway between Barrow and Prudhoe Bay, Alaska. Our project will help us to identify sites along the Beaufort Sea coast that are at particular risk of becoming eroded in the near future, and to predict future patterns of coastal change as a function of projected changes in sea surface temperature, sea ice conditions, and changes in land surface temperatures. Our approach takes a step beyond the empirical analyses that have characterized past studies of Arctic coastal change by focusing on the development of models fed by new environmental data and retrospective analyses of existing data. code 1 only.