Evaluation of a Method for Short-Range Forecasting of Evaporation Duct Heights.

A method for forecasting evaporation duct heights over periods of three to twelve hours is evaluated by comprising skill and threat scores to persistance scores. Although the evaluation of data from two ocean weather stations in the North Atlantic reveals an apparent advantage of the forecast method...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: SWEET,Wayne A
Other Authors: NAVAL ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION RESEARCH FACILITY MONTEREY CA
Format: Text
Language:English
Published: 1981
Subjects:
Meteorology
Statistics and Probability
*WEATHER FORECASTING
OCEAN SURFACE
TIME DEPENDENCE
ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE
METEOROLOGICAL DATA
SHORT RANGE(TIME)
TRANSFORMATIONS(MATHEMATICS)
DUCTS
WIND VELOCITY
EVAPORATION
WEATHER STATIONS
MARINE METEOROLOGY
NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN
HEIGHT
MARKOV PROCESSES
DEW POINT
Ocean weather stations
Evaporation ducts
PE62759N
WU6211
North Atlantic
Online Access:http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA104892
http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?&verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA104892
Description
Summary:A method for forecasting evaporation duct heights over periods of three to twelve hours is evaluated by comprising skill and threat scores to persistance scores. Although the evaluation of data from two ocean weather stations in the North Atlantic reveals an apparent advantage of the forecast method over persistance, an analysis of variance shows no statistically significant differences between the two sets of scores. (Author)

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