A Technique for Using Synoptic Analogs to Predict the Development of Tropical Depressions into North Atlantic Hurricanes.

This study presents a method for using the output of the U.S. Navy long range (analog) forecast model to predict the development of tropical depressions in the North Atlantic Ocean into tropical storms or hurricanes. The technique is applied to North Atlantic tropical depressions which formed in the...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Grimm,David Alan
Other Authors: AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO
Format: Text
Language:English
Published: 1978
Subjects:
Meteorology
*WEATHER FORECASTING
*HURRICANES
INTENSITY
THESES
ATMOSPHERIC DISTURBANCES
LOW PRESSURE
METEOROLOGICAL DATA
LONG RANGE(TIME)
MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION
STORMS
ANALOGS
TROPICAL REGIONS
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN
SYNOPTIC METEOROLOGY
HURRICANE TRACKING
North Atlantic
Online Access:http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA065476
http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?&verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA065476
id ftdtic:ADA065476
record_format openpolar
spelling ftdtic:ADA065476 2023-05-15T17:25:47+02:00 A Technique for Using Synoptic Analogs to Predict the Development of Tropical Depressions into North Atlantic Hurricanes. Grimm,David Alan AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO 1978-05 text/html http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA065476 http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?&verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA065476 en eng http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA065476 APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE DTIC AND NTIS Meteorology *WEATHER FORECASTING *HURRICANES INTENSITY THESES ATMOSPHERIC DISTURBANCES LOW PRESSURE METEOROLOGICAL DATA LONG RANGE(TIME) MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION STORMS ANALOGS TROPICAL REGIONS STATISTICAL ANALYSIS NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN SYNOPTIC METEOROLOGY HURRICANE TRACKING Text 1978 ftdtic 2016-02-20T15:37:59Z This study presents a method for using the output of the U.S. Navy long range (analog) forecast model to predict the development of tropical depressions in the North Atlantic Ocean into tropical storms or hurricanes. The technique is applied to North Atlantic tropical depressions which formed in the period from 1974 through 1977. Sample cases, statistical analyses of results, and verification of the technique are presented. Results show that the method successfully predicts tropical depression development. Recommendations are made to streamline and improve the technique. (Author) Text North Atlantic Defense Technical Information Center: DTIC Technical Reports database
institution Open Polar
collection Defense Technical Information Center: DTIC Technical Reports database
op_collection_id ftdtic
language English
topic Meteorology
*WEATHER FORECASTING
*HURRICANES
INTENSITY
THESES
ATMOSPHERIC DISTURBANCES
LOW PRESSURE
METEOROLOGICAL DATA
LONG RANGE(TIME)
MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION
STORMS
ANALOGS
TROPICAL REGIONS
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN
SYNOPTIC METEOROLOGY
HURRICANE TRACKING
spellingShingle Meteorology
*WEATHER FORECASTING
*HURRICANES
INTENSITY
THESES
ATMOSPHERIC DISTURBANCES
LOW PRESSURE
METEOROLOGICAL DATA
LONG RANGE(TIME)
MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION
STORMS
ANALOGS
TROPICAL REGIONS
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN
SYNOPTIC METEOROLOGY
HURRICANE TRACKING
Grimm,David Alan
A Technique for Using Synoptic Analogs to Predict the Development of Tropical Depressions into North Atlantic Hurricanes.
topic_facet Meteorology
*WEATHER FORECASTING
*HURRICANES
INTENSITY
THESES
ATMOSPHERIC DISTURBANCES
LOW PRESSURE
METEOROLOGICAL DATA
LONG RANGE(TIME)
MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION
STORMS
ANALOGS
TROPICAL REGIONS
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN
SYNOPTIC METEOROLOGY
HURRICANE TRACKING
description This study presents a method for using the output of the U.S. Navy long range (analog) forecast model to predict the development of tropical depressions in the North Atlantic Ocean into tropical storms or hurricanes. The technique is applied to North Atlantic tropical depressions which formed in the period from 1974 through 1977. Sample cases, statistical analyses of results, and verification of the technique are presented. Results show that the method successfully predicts tropical depression development. Recommendations are made to streamline and improve the technique. (Author)
author2 AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO
format Text
author Grimm,David Alan
author_facet Grimm,David Alan
author_sort Grimm,David Alan
title A Technique for Using Synoptic Analogs to Predict the Development of Tropical Depressions into North Atlantic Hurricanes.
title_short A Technique for Using Synoptic Analogs to Predict the Development of Tropical Depressions into North Atlantic Hurricanes.
title_full A Technique for Using Synoptic Analogs to Predict the Development of Tropical Depressions into North Atlantic Hurricanes.
title_fullStr A Technique for Using Synoptic Analogs to Predict the Development of Tropical Depressions into North Atlantic Hurricanes.
title_full_unstemmed A Technique for Using Synoptic Analogs to Predict the Development of Tropical Depressions into North Atlantic Hurricanes.
title_sort technique for using synoptic analogs to predict the development of tropical depressions into north atlantic hurricanes.
publishDate 1978
url http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA065476
http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?&verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA065476
genre North Atlantic
genre_facet North Atlantic
op_source DTIC AND NTIS
op_relation http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA065476
op_rights APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE
_version_ 1766117281048297472

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