How have recent temperature changes affected the efficiency of ocean biological carbon export?

Abstract The ocean's large, microbially mediated reservoirs of carbon are intimately connected with atmospheric CO2 and climate, yet quantifying the feedbacks between them remains an unresolved challenge. Through an idealized mechanistic model, we consider the impact of documented climate chang...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Limnology and Oceanography Letters
Main Authors: B. B. Cael, Kelsey Bisson, Michael J. Follows
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/lol2.10042
https://doaj.org/article/ea925873d5174b12877c05ebeb66e98b
Description
Summary:Abstract The ocean's large, microbially mediated reservoirs of carbon are intimately connected with atmospheric CO2 and climate, yet quantifying the feedbacks between them remains an unresolved challenge. Through an idealized mechanistic model, we consider the impact of documented climate change during the past few decades on the efficiency of biological carbon export out of the surface ocean. This model is grounded in universal metabolic phenomena, describing export efficiency's temperature dependence in terms of the differential temperature sensitivity of phototrophic and heterotrophic metabolism. Temperature changes are suggested to have caused a statistically significant decrease in export efficiency of 1.5% ± 0.4% over the past 33 yr. Larger changes are suggested in the midlatitudes and Arctic. This interpretation is robust across multiple sea surface temperature and net primary production data products. The same metabolic mechanism may have resulted in much larger changes e.g., in response to the large temperature shifts between glacial and interglacial time periods.