The influence of emissions scenarios on future Antarctic ice loss is unlikely to emerge this century

The Antarctic Ice Sheet’s sea-level contribution in a high-emissions scenario is indistinguishable from that in a low-emissions scenario for the next century, but its long-term contribution depends on warming this century, according to ice sheet simulations and an emulator-based analysis.

Bibliographic Details
Published in:Communications Earth & Environment
Main Authors: Daniel P. Lowry, Mario Krapp, Nicholas R. Golledge, Alanna Alevropoulos-Borrill
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00289-2
https://doaj.org/article/e67154185c434ad095c68e65f4b26331
Description
Summary:The Antarctic Ice Sheet’s sea-level contribution in a high-emissions scenario is indistinguishable from that in a low-emissions scenario for the next century, but its long-term contribution depends on warming this century, according to ice sheet simulations and an emulator-based analysis.