Potentially Suitable Geographical Area for Monochamus alternatus under Current and Future Climatic Scenarios Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model
M. alternatus is considered to be an important and effective insect vector for the spread of the important international forest quarantine pest, Bursaphelenchus xylophilus . The precise determination of potential suitable areas of M. alternatus is essential to monitor, prevent, and control M. altern...
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2023
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.3390/insects14020182 https://doaj.org/article/dec0ef2d055a4f4d9188014314347046 |
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:dec0ef2d055a4f4d9188014314347046 2023-06-11T04:07:01+02:00 Potentially Suitable Geographical Area for Monochamus alternatus under Current and Future Climatic Scenarios Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model Ruihe Gao Lei Liu Lijuan Zhao Shaopeng Cui 2023-02-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.3390/insects14020182 https://doaj.org/article/dec0ef2d055a4f4d9188014314347046 EN eng MDPI AG https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4450/14/2/182 https://doaj.org/toc/2075-4450 doi:10.3390/insects14020182 2075-4450 https://doaj.org/article/dec0ef2d055a4f4d9188014314347046 Insects, Vol 14, Iss 182, p 182 (2023) Monochamus alternatus Bursaphelenchus xylophilus MaxEnt climate change Science Q article 2023 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.3390/insects14020182 2023-05-07T00:32:48Z M. alternatus is considered to be an important and effective insect vector for the spread of the important international forest quarantine pest, Bursaphelenchus xylophilus . The precise determination of potential suitable areas of M. alternatus is essential to monitor, prevent, and control M. alternatus worldwide. According to the distribution points and climatic variables, the optimized MaxEnt model and ArcGIS were used to predict the current and future potentially suitable areas of M. alternatus worldwide. The optimized MaxEnt model parameters were set as feature combination (FC) = LQHP and β = 1.5, which were determined by the values of AUC diff , OR 10 , and ΔAICc. Bio2, Bio6, Bio10, Bio12, and Bio14 were the dominant bioclimatic variables affecting the distribution of M. alternatus . Under the current climate conditions, the potentially suitable habitats of M. alternatus were distributed across all continents except Antarctica, accounting for 4.17% of the Earth’s total land area. Under future climate scenarios, the potentially suitable habitats of M. alternatus increased significantly, spreading to a global scale. The results of this study could provide a theoretical basis for the risk analysis of the global distribution and dispersal of M. alternatus as well as the precise monitoring and prevention of this beetle. Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctica Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Insects 14 2 182 |
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Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
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ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Monochamus alternatus Bursaphelenchus xylophilus MaxEnt climate change Science Q |
spellingShingle |
Monochamus alternatus Bursaphelenchus xylophilus MaxEnt climate change Science Q Ruihe Gao Lei Liu Lijuan Zhao Shaopeng Cui Potentially Suitable Geographical Area for Monochamus alternatus under Current and Future Climatic Scenarios Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model |
topic_facet |
Monochamus alternatus Bursaphelenchus xylophilus MaxEnt climate change Science Q |
description |
M. alternatus is considered to be an important and effective insect vector for the spread of the important international forest quarantine pest, Bursaphelenchus xylophilus . The precise determination of potential suitable areas of M. alternatus is essential to monitor, prevent, and control M. alternatus worldwide. According to the distribution points and climatic variables, the optimized MaxEnt model and ArcGIS were used to predict the current and future potentially suitable areas of M. alternatus worldwide. The optimized MaxEnt model parameters were set as feature combination (FC) = LQHP and β = 1.5, which were determined by the values of AUC diff , OR 10 , and ΔAICc. Bio2, Bio6, Bio10, Bio12, and Bio14 were the dominant bioclimatic variables affecting the distribution of M. alternatus . Under the current climate conditions, the potentially suitable habitats of M. alternatus were distributed across all continents except Antarctica, accounting for 4.17% of the Earth’s total land area. Under future climate scenarios, the potentially suitable habitats of M. alternatus increased significantly, spreading to a global scale. The results of this study could provide a theoretical basis for the risk analysis of the global distribution and dispersal of M. alternatus as well as the precise monitoring and prevention of this beetle. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Ruihe Gao Lei Liu Lijuan Zhao Shaopeng Cui |
author_facet |
Ruihe Gao Lei Liu Lijuan Zhao Shaopeng Cui |
author_sort |
Ruihe Gao |
title |
Potentially Suitable Geographical Area for Monochamus alternatus under Current and Future Climatic Scenarios Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model |
title_short |
Potentially Suitable Geographical Area for Monochamus alternatus under Current and Future Climatic Scenarios Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model |
title_full |
Potentially Suitable Geographical Area for Monochamus alternatus under Current and Future Climatic Scenarios Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model |
title_fullStr |
Potentially Suitable Geographical Area for Monochamus alternatus under Current and Future Climatic Scenarios Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model |
title_full_unstemmed |
Potentially Suitable Geographical Area for Monochamus alternatus under Current and Future Climatic Scenarios Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model |
title_sort |
potentially suitable geographical area for monochamus alternatus under current and future climatic scenarios based on optimized maxent model |
publisher |
MDPI AG |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/insects14020182 https://doaj.org/article/dec0ef2d055a4f4d9188014314347046 |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctica |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctica |
op_source |
Insects, Vol 14, Iss 182, p 182 (2023) |
op_relation |
https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4450/14/2/182 https://doaj.org/toc/2075-4450 doi:10.3390/insects14020182 2075-4450 https://doaj.org/article/dec0ef2d055a4f4d9188014314347046 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/insects14020182 |
container_title |
Insects |
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14 |
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2 |
container_start_page |
182 |
_version_ |
1768379423069831168 |