Modeling the Role of pH on Baltic Sea Cyanobacteria

We simulate pH-dependent growth of cyanobacteria with an ecosystem model for the central Baltic Sea. Four model components—a life cycle model of cyanobacteria, a biogeochemical model, a carbonate chemistry model and a water column model—are coupled via the framework for aquatic biogeochemical models...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Life
Main Authors: Jana Hinners, Richard Hofmeister, Inga Hense
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2015
Subjects:
pH
Q
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.3390/life5021204
https://doaj.org/article/caa1368de48441c8ac38fe50f4e691d1
Description
Summary:We simulate pH-dependent growth of cyanobacteria with an ecosystem model for the central Baltic Sea. Four model components—a life cycle model of cyanobacteria, a biogeochemical model, a carbonate chemistry model and a water column model—are coupled via the framework for aquatic biogeochemical models. The coupled model is forced by the output of a regional climate model, based on the A1B emission scenario. With this coupled model, we perform simulations for the period 1968–2098. Our simulation experiments suggest that in the future, cyanobacteria growth is hardly affected by the projected pH decrease. However, in the simulation phase prior to 1980, cyanobacteria growth and N2-fixation are limited by the relatively high pH. The observed absence of cyanobacteria before the 1960s may thus be explained not only by lower eutrophication levels, but also by a higher alkalinity.