Analysis of 24 years of mesopause region OH rotational temperature observations at Davis, Antarctica – Part 1: long-term trends

The long-term trend, solar cycle response, and residual variability in 24 years of hydroxyl nightglow rotational temperatures above Davis research station, Antarctica (68 ∘ S, 78 ∘ E) are reported. Hydroxyl rotational temperatures are a layer-weighted proxy for kinetic temperatures near 87 km altitu...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Main Authors: W. J. R. French, F. J. Mulligan, A. R. Klekociuk
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2020
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-6379-2020
https://doaj.org/article/b157c070c3504adb871e046a2a534ba5
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Summary:The long-term trend, solar cycle response, and residual variability in 24 years of hydroxyl nightglow rotational temperatures above Davis research station, Antarctica (68 ∘ S, 78 ∘ E) are reported. Hydroxyl rotational temperatures are a layer-weighted proxy for kinetic temperatures near 87 km altitude and have been used for many decades to monitor trends in the mesopause region in response to increasing greenhouse gas emissions. Routine observations of the OH(6-2) band P-branch emission lines using a scanning spectrometer at Davis station have been made continuously over each winter season since 1995. Significant outcomes of this most recent analysis update are the following: (a) a record-low winter-average temperature of 198.3 K is obtained for 2018 (1.7 K below previous low in 2009); (b) a long-term cooling trend of <math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M3" display="inline" overflow="scroll" dspmath="mathml"><mrow><mo>-</mo><mn mathvariant="normal">1.2</mn><mo>±</mo><mn mathvariant="normal">0.51</mn></mrow></math> <svg:svg xmlns:svg="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="58pt" height="10pt" class="svg-formula" dspmath="mathimg" md5hash="32f9db189451bf166e3994fa95b7b704"><svg:image xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="acp-20-6379-2020-ie00001.svg" width="58pt" height="10pt" src="acp-20-6379-2020-ie00001.png"/></svg:svg> K per decade persists, coupled with a solar cycle response of 4.3±1.02 K per 100 solar flux units; and (c) we find evidence in the residual winter mean temperatures of an oscillation on a quasi-quadrennial (QQO) timescale which is investigated in detail in Part 2 of this work. Our observations and trend analyses are compared with satellite measurements from Aura/MLS version v4.2 level-2 data over the last 14 years, and we find close agreement (a best fit to temperature anomalies) with the 0.00464 hPa pressure level values. The solar cycle response ( 3.4±2.3 K per 100 sfu), ...