An Explanation for the Metric Dependence of the Midlatitude Jet‐Waviness Change in Response to Polar Warming

Abstract Arctic amplification has been proposed to promote temperature extremes by slowing the midlatitude jet and increasing the amplitude of its meanders. Observational and modeling studies have used a variety of metrics to quantify jet waviness. These studies show conflicting changes in jet wavin...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Geophysical Research Letters
Main Authors: Ruth Geen, Stephen I. Thomson, James A. Screen, Russell Blackport, Neil T. Lewis, Regan Mudhar, William J. M. Seviour, Geoffrey K. Vallis
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105132
https://doaj.org/article/a64046cb66d5462aa9d2396f25f93909
Description
Summary:Abstract Arctic amplification has been proposed to promote temperature extremes by slowing the midlatitude jet and increasing the amplitude of its meanders. Observational and modeling studies have used a variety of metrics to quantify jet waviness. These studies show conflicting changes in jet waviness depending on the metric used and period examined. Here, we evaluate common metrics for dry idealized model simulations in which we apply polar warming of varying depth and meridional extent. In all simulations, polar warming increases the spatial extent of jet meanders, but reduces the magnitudes of ridges and troughs within the wave. As a result, geometric and anomaly‐amplitude measures of jet waviness can yield opposing responses. This contrast between metrics is particularly evident when warming extends into the midlatitudes. In all simulations, midlatitude temperature anomalies weaken as the poles warm, suggesting that a wavier jet need not imply stronger temperature extremes.