The decomposition of cloud–aerosol forcing in the UK Earth System Model (UKESM1)

Climate variability in the North Atlantic influences processes such as hurricane activity and droughts. Global model simulations have identified aerosol–cloud interactions (ACIs) as an important driver of sea surface temperature variability via surface aerosol forcing. However, ACIs are a major caus...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Main Authors: D. P. Grosvenor, K. S. Carslaw
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-15681-2020
https://doaj.org/article/98edb0768ac34034a50d275c8aea2476
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Summary:Climate variability in the North Atlantic influences processes such as hurricane activity and droughts. Global model simulations have identified aerosol–cloud interactions (ACIs) as an important driver of sea surface temperature variability via surface aerosol forcing. However, ACIs are a major cause of uncertainty in climate forcing; therefore, caution is needed in interpreting the results from coarse-resolution, highly parameterized global models. Here, we separate and quantify the components of the surface shortwave effective radiative forcing (ERF) due to aerosol in the atmosphere-only version of the UK Earth System Model (UKESM1) and evaluate the cloud properties and their radiative effects against observations. We focus on a northern region of the North Atlantic (NA) where stratocumulus clouds dominate (denoted the northern NA region) and a southern region where trade cumulus and broken stratocumulus dominate (southern NA region). Aerosol forcing was diagnosed using a pair of simulations in which the meteorology is approximately fixed via nudging to analysis; one simulation has pre-industrial (PI) and one has present-day (PD) aerosol emissions. This model does not include aerosol effects within the convective parameterization (but aerosol does affect the clouds associated with detrainment) and so it should be noted that the representation of aerosol forcing for convection is incomplete. Contributions to the surface ERF from changes in cloud fraction ( f c ), in-cloud liquid water path (LWP ic ) and droplet number concentration ( N d ) were quantified. Over the northern NA region, increases in N d and LWP ic dominate the forcing. This is likely because the already-high f c there reduces the chances of further large increases in f c and allows cloud brightening to act over a larger region. Over the southern NA region, increases in f c dominate due to the suppression of rain by the additional aerosols. Aerosol-driven increases in macrophysical cloud properties (LWP ic and f c ) will rely on the response of ...